Football · England Premier League · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Fulham vs Newcastle

Team pages: Fulham · Newcastle

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Fulham1.54
Newcastle1.22
1X2
44% 27% 29%
Fulham Draw Newcastle
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Fulham 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLLDDLWWD
Newcastle 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWDLWLLW
Head-to-head
Fulham 3–3 Newcastle (6 last)
  • Fulham2-0Newcastle
  • Newcastle2-1Fulham
  • Newcastle2-1Fulham
  • Newcastle1-2Fulham
  • Fulham3-1Newcastle
  • Fulham0-1Newcastle
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fulham 1487 · Newcastle 1504
FulhamDrawNewcastle
Our model43%28%29%
Market44%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FulhamNewcastle
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.22.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.14.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulham 3–0–3 Newcastle

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
England Premier League
Fulham2-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle
17/12/25
England EFL Cup
Newcastle2-1
HT 1-1
Fulham
25/10/25
England Premier League
Newcastle2-1
HT 1-0
Fulham
01/02/25
England Premier League
Newcastle1-2
HT 1-0
Fulham
21/09/24
England Premier League
Fulham3-1
HT 2-0
Newcastle
06/04/24
England Premier League
Fulham0-1
HT 0-0
Newcastle

Standings · England Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Man City 9702 201021
2 Arsenal 8701 13521
3 Brighton 9612 24719
4 Chelsea 9513 191516
5 Liverpool 8431 11815
6 Brentford 9351 16914
7 Bournemouth 9333 141312
8 Tottenham 9333 101012
9 Aston Villa 9333 101312
10 Hull 9252 111011
11 Leeds 9252 9811
12 Newcastle 8323 121411
13 Ipswich 9324 141811
14 Everton 8242 8910
15 Fulham 9234 9119
16 Coventry 9306 9169
17 Man Utd 9144 10157
18 Crystal Palace 9216 9217
19 Nottm Forest 9135 6126
20 Sunderland 9126 7175

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFulhamNewcastle
Aston Villa 1-1 D 0-1 L
Coventry 1-0 W 1-4 L
Hull 1-0 W 2-1 W
Liverpool 0-0 D 2-2 D
Crystal Palace 2-3 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fulham (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fulham

WLLLDDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Aston Villa
England Premier League
0-1 1-1 74 D
24/10 Coventry
England Premier League
0-0 1-0 62 W
17/10 Hull
England Premier League
1-0 1-0 105 W
10/10 Ipswich
England Premier League
0-0 1-2 56 L
20/09 Man Utd
England Premier League
0-0 1-1 33 D
12/09 Liverpool
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 81 D
05/09 Crystal Palace
England Premier League
2-1 2-3 70 L
30/08 Sunderland
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 42 L
24/08 Chelsea
England Premier League
1-2 2-3 65 L
24/05 Newcastle
England Premier League
1-0 2-0 64 W

Newcastle

WLDWDLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Crystal Palace
England Premier League
0-0 2-0 46 W
17/10 Aston Villa
England Premier League
0-1 0-1 48 L
12/10 Coventry
England Premier League
0-1 1-4 62 L
19/09 Hull
England Premier League
2-0 2-1 46 W
14/09 Leeds
England Premier League
0-3 1-4 53 L
05/09 Bournemouth
England Premier League
1-2 2-2 45 D
29/08 Tottenham
England Premier League
0-0 2-0 73 W
23/08 Liverpool
England Premier League
1-0 2-2 28 D
24/05 Fulham
England Premier League
0-1 0-2 64 L
17/05 West Ham
England Premier League
2-0 3-1 94 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fulham vs Newcastle?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham win (44%). Probabilities: Fulham 44%, draw 27%, Newcastle 29%.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Newcastle?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Fulham 1.54 · Newcastle 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Newcastle?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.