Football · England Premier League · 07/11, 13:30
Prediction: Leeds vs Tottenham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Leeds1.22
Tottenham1.15
1X2
Leeds
Draw
Tottenham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Leeds
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Tottenham
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leeds
0–1–5
Tottenham
(6 last)
- Tottenham1-1Leeds
- Leeds1-2Tottenham
- Leeds1-4Tottenham
- Tottenham4-3Leeds
- Leeds0-4Tottenham
- Tottenham2-1Leeds
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leeds 1496 · Tottenham 1527
| Leeds | Draw | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tottenham: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leeds | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.1 | 3.4 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leeds 0–1–5 Tottenham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 England Premier League | Tottenham | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Leeds |
| 04/10/25 England Premier League | Leeds | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tottenham |
| 28/05/23 England Premier League | Leeds | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Tottenham |
| 12/11/22 England Premier League | Tottenham | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Leeds |
| 26/02/22 England Premier League | Leeds | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Tottenham |
| 21/11/21 England Premier League | Tottenham | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Leeds |
Standings · England Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Hull | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 17 | Man Utd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottm Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leeds | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Man Utd | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Crystal Palace | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Newcastle | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Brentford | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Nottm Forest | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Leeds (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leeds
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 14/09 | Newcastle England Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Brighton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Tottenham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 19 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/10 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leeds vs Tottenham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leeds win (37%). Probabilities: Leeds 37%, draw 29%, Tottenham 34%.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Tottenham?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Leeds 1.22 · Tottenham 1.15), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Tottenham?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.