Prediction: Bournemouth vs Everton
Team pages: Bournemouth · Everton
- Everton1-2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0-1Everton
- Everton0-3Bournemouth
- Everton0-2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth1-0Everton
- Everton2-3Bournemouth
| Bournemouth | Draw | Everton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bournemouth (rating 1586 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Bournemouth: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bournemouth | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bournemouth 5–0–1 Everton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 England Premier League | Everton | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Bournemouth |
| 02/12/25 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Everton |
| 26/07/25 Elite Club Friendlies | Everton | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Bournemouth |
| 08/02/25 England FA Cup | Everton | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Bournemouth |
| 04/01/25 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Everton |
| 31/08/24 England Premier League | Everton | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Bournemouth |
Standings · England Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hull | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Man Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bournemouth | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Man City | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Crystal Palace | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Arsenal | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Brentford | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bournemouth (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bournemouth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Newcastle England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Arsenal England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/03 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Burnley England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 03/03 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Everton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bournemouth vs Everton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bournemouth win (46%). Probabilities: Bournemouth 46%, draw 26%, Everton 27%.
How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Everton?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Bournemouth 1.68 · Everton 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Everton?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.