Prediction: Aston Villa vs Brentford
Team pages: Aston Villa · Brentford
- Aston Villa0-1Brentford
- Brentford1-1Aston Villa
- Brentford1-0Aston Villa
- Brentford0-1Aston Villa
- Aston Villa3-1Brentford
- Aston Villa3-3Brentford
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brentford (rating 1509 vs 1597).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aston Villa | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aston Villa 2–2–2 Brentford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Brentford |
| 16/09/25 England EFL Cup | Brentford | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aston Villa |
| 23/08/25 England Premier League | Brentford | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aston Villa |
| 08/03/25 England Premier League | Brentford | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa |
| 04/12/24 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Brentford |
| 06/04/24 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Brentford |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Man Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottm Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aston Villa | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Man City | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Liverpool | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aston Villa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aston Villa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Tottenham England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Hull England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Brentford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Leeds England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Tottenham England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aston Villa vs Brentford?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brentford win (38%). Probabilities: Aston Villa 36%, draw 26%, Brentford 38%.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa vs Brentford?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Aston Villa 1.55 · Brentford 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Brentford?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.