Prediction: Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Team pages: Bournemouth · Sunderland
- Bournemouth1-1Sunderland
- Sunderland3-2Bournemouth
- Sunderland0-1Bournemouth
- Bournemouth1-2Sunderland
- Sunderland1-1Bournemouth
- Bournemouth2-0Sunderland
| Bournemouth | Draw | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bournemouth | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bournemouth 2–2–2 Sunderland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sunderland |
| 29/11/25 England Premier League | Sunderland | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Bournemouth |
| 29/04/17 England Premier League | Sunderland | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bournemouth |
| 05/11/16 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sunderland |
| 23/01/16 England Premier League | Sunderland | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bournemouth |
| 19/09/15 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sunderland |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bournemouth | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Brentford | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Everton | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Man City | 1-2 L | 3-5 L |
| Fulham | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sunderland (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bournemouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Newcastle England Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Sunderland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Man City England Premier League |
2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bournemouth win (45%). Probabilities: Bournemouth 45%, draw 28%, Sunderland 26%.
How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Bournemouth 1.5 · Sunderland 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.