Prediction: Brighton vs Crystal Palace
Team pages: Brighton · Crystal Palace
- Brighton0-1Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace0-0Brighton
- Crystal Palace2-1Brighton
- Brighton1-3Crystal Palace
- Brighton4-1Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace1-1Brighton
| Brighton | Draw | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton (rating 1583 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Crystal Palace: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brighton | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brighton 1–2–3 Crystal Palace
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 England Premier League | Brighton | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Crystal Palace |
| 09/11/25 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brighton |
| 05/04/25 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Brighton |
| 15/12/24 England Premier League | Brighton | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Crystal Palace |
| 03/02/24 England Premier League | Brighton | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Crystal Palace |
| 21/12/23 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Brighton |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brighton | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Leeds | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brighton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
Crystal Palace
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Fulham England Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 28/08 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brighton win (63%). Probabilities: Brighton 63%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace 16%.
How many goals are expected in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Brighton 2.13 · Crystal Palace 1), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.