Prediction: Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Team pages: Chelsea · Bournemouth
- Chelsea2-2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0-0Chelsea
- Chelsea2-2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0-1Chelsea
- Chelsea2-1Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0-0Chelsea
| Chelsea | Draw | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Chelsea: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelsea 2–4–0 Bournemouth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/25 England Premier League | Chelsea | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Bournemouth |
| 06/12/25 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chelsea |
| 14/01/25 England Premier League | Chelsea | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Bournemouth |
| 14/09/24 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chelsea |
| 19/05/24 England Premier League | Chelsea | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bournemouth |
| 17/09/23 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chelsea |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Man Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottm Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chelsea | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Fulham | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Liverpool | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Nottm Forest | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bournemouth (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Hull England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Brighton England Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 19/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 04/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Bournemouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Newcastle England Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Man City England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelsea win (55%). Probabilities: Chelsea 55%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 22%.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Chelsea 2.17 · Bournemouth 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.