Football · England Premier League · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: Crystal Palace vs Nottm Forest
Team pages: Crystal Palace · Nottm Forest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Crystal Palace1.27
Nottm Forest1.25
1X2
Crystal Palace
Draw
Nottm Forest
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Crystal Palace
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Nottm Forest
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crystal Palace
0–5–1
Nottm Forest
(6 last)
- Nottm Forest1-1Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace1-1Nottm Forest
- Crystal Palace1-1Nottm Forest
- Nottm Forest1-0Crystal Palace
- Nottm Forest1-1Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace0-0Nottm Forest
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crystal Palace 1457 · Nottm Forest 1491
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Nottm Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 31% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crystal Palace | Nottm Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 2.9 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crystal Palace 0–5–1 Nottm Forest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Crystal Palace |
| 24/08/25 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nottm Forest |
| 05/05/25 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nottm Forest |
| 21/10/24 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Crystal Palace |
| 30/03/24 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Crystal Palace |
| 07/10/23 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nottm Forest |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Man Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottm Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crystal Palace | Nottm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Bournemouth | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crystal Palace
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Fulham England Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 28/08 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Nottm Forest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Sunderland England Premier League |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crystal Palace vs Nottm Forest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crystal Palace win (35%). Probabilities: Crystal Palace 35%, draw 30%, Nottm Forest 34%.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace vs Nottm Forest?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Crystal Palace 1.27 · Nottm Forest 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Nottm Forest?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.