Prediction: Sunderland vs Brighton
Team pages: Sunderland · Brighton
- Sunderland0-1Brighton
- Brighton0-0Sunderland
| Sunderland | Draw | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton (rating 1538 vs 1592).
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunderland | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 2.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland 0–1–1 Brighton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England Premier League | Sunderland | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Brighton |
| 20/12/25 England Premier League | Brighton | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sunderland |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Man Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottm Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunderland | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Chelsea | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Man Utd | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Wolverhampton | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunderland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Man City England Premier League |
2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
Brighton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunderland vs Brighton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brighton win (39%). Probabilities: Sunderland 32%, draw 29%, Brighton 39%.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Brighton?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Sunderland 1.09 · Brighton 1.24), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Brighton?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.