Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: FK Transinvest II vs FK Garliava

Team pages: FK Transinvest II · FK Garliava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

FK Transinvest II1.58

FK Garliava1.58

1X2

38% 25% 38%

FK Transinvest II Draw FK Garliava

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLDWW

FK Garliava 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWDWL

Head-to-head

FK Transinvest II 1–1–1 FK Garliava (3 last)

FK Garliava3-0FK Transinvest II
FK Garliava0-0FK Transinvest II
FK Transinvest II1-0FK Garliava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1490 · FK Garliava 1452

	FK Transinvest II	Draw	FK Garliava
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest II	FK Garliava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.70

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	2.70 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:20 +9’	2.10	3.75	2.70
21:52 +3’	2.38▲	3.70▼	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest II 1–1–1 FK Garliava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Garliava	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Transinvest II
15/08/25 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Garliava	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Transinvest II
06/04/25 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Transinvest II	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Garliava

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	29	22	5	2	53	14	71
2	FK Minija	28	23	1	4	74	19	70
3	FK BE1	28	18	4	6	50	29	58
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	29	15	5	9	46	38	50
5	FK Tauras	28	14	5	9	50	38	47
6	BFA Vilnius	28	14	4	10	42	41	46
7	DFK Dainava	28	12	8	8	40	29	44
8	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	29	14	2	13	33	37	44
9	FK Atmosfera	28	10	7	11	44	38	37
10	FK Garliava	28	9	5	14	34	32	32
11	Lietava Jonava	29	8	7	14	33	40	31
12	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	29	10	1	18	29	45	31
13	FK Transinvest II	28	8	4	16	35	61	28
14	FC Hegelmann II	28	7	2	19	32	66	23
15	FK Ekranas	29	5	3	21	30	64	18
16	FK Siauliai II	28	4	5	19	31	65	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest II	FK Garliava
FK Siauliai II	3-2 W	3-2 W
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	2-0 W	2-3 L
FK Ekranas	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK BE1	1-2 L	0-2 L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	3-4 L	0-2 L
FK Atmosfera	2-0 W	0-0 D
BFA Vilnius	2-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Transinvest II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Transinvest II

LWLLLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	3-2	8	3	W
16/10	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	0	3	W
10/10	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
18/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
11/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
05/09	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
29/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
25/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-3	3-4	9	7	L
14/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-4	3	5	L

FK Garliava

LLLLLLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
17/10	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	3-2	6	6	W
10/10	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
02/10	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
19/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-3	2	4	L
12/09	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	2-3	4	3	L
05/09	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
29/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
21/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
15/08	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest II vs FK Garliava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Transinvest II win (38%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest II 38%, draw 25%, FK Garliava 38%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest II vs FK Garliava?

The model expects 3.15 goals (FK Transinvest II 1.58 · FK Garliava 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest II vs FK Garliava?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.