Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: FK Tauras vs FK Transinvest II

Team pages: FK Tauras · FK Transinvest II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

FK Tauras2.37

FK Transinvest II1.23

1X2

62% 20% 18%

FK Tauras Draw FK Transinvest II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tauras 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWDLWD

FK Transinvest II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLDWWD

Head-to-head

FK Tauras 1–0 FK Transinvest II (1 last)

FK Transinvest II0-1FK Tauras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Tauras 1514 · FK Transinvest II 1494

	FK Tauras	Draw	FK Transinvest II
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tauras	FK Transinvest II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +4’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tauras 1–0–0 FK Transinvest II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Transinvest II	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Tauras

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	29	22	5	2	53	14	71
2	FK Minija	28	23	1	4	74	19	70
3	FK BE1	28	18	4	6	50	29	58
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	29	15	5	9	46	38	50
5	BFA Vilnius	29	14	5	10	43	42	47
6	FK Tauras	28	14	5	9	50	38	47
7	DFK Dainava	29	13	8	8	44	29	47
8	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	29	14	2	13	33	37	44
9	FK Atmosfera	28	10	7	11	44	38	37
10	FK Garliava	29	9	6	14	37	35	33
11	Lietava Jonava	29	8	7	14	33	40	31
12	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	29	10	1	18	29	45	31
13	FK Transinvest II	29	8	5	16	38	64	29
14	FC Hegelmann II	29	7	3	19	33	67	24
15	FK Ekranas	29	5	3	21	30	64	18
16	FK Siauliai II	29	4	5	20	31	69	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tauras	FK Transinvest II
FK Minija	3-3 D	0-3 L
FK Ekranas	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK BE1	1-2 L	1-2 L
FC Hegelmann II	4-4 D	4-1 W
Lietava Jonava	3-2 W	1-2 L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	0-1 L	3-4 L
FK Atmosfera	1-3 L	2-0 W
FK Garliava	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Tauras (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tauras

WDDLLWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	3-3	2	2	D
30/10	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
24/10	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
16/10	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	4-4	4	3	D
18/09	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
12/09	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/09	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	6	6	L
28/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-2	5	3	D
21/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
15/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W

FK Transinvest II

WLLLWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-2	3-3	1	5	D
26/10	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	3-2	8	3	W
16/10	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	0	3	W
10/10	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
18/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
11/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
05/09	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
29/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
25/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-3	3-4	9	7	L
14/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tauras vs FK Transinvest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tauras win (62%). Probabilities: FK Tauras 62%, draw 20%, FK Transinvest II 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tauras vs FK Transinvest II?

The model expects 3.59 goals (FK Tauras 2.37 · FK Transinvest II 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tauras vs FK Transinvest II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.