Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 19/07, 13:00

Prediction: FK Tauras vs FK Siauliai II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

FK Tauras2.97

FK Siauliai II0.97

1X2

78% 14% 8%

FK Tauras Draw FK Siauliai II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tauras 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLWWW

FK Siauliai II 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Tauras 3–1–1 FK Siauliai II (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Tauras 1554 · FK Siauliai II 1413

	FK Tauras	Draw	FK Siauliai II
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Tauras (rating 1554 vs 1413).
H2H favours FK Tauras: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tauras	FK Siauliai II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.6	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.85

2 (+2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +15’	1.17	7.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tauras 3–1–1 FK Siauliai II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/07/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	1-3 HT 1-0	FK Tauras
26/07/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	4-0 HT 3-0	FK Siauliai II
16/03/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Tauras
25/10/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	3-1 HT 0-1	FK Tauras
08/06/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	5-0 HT 2-0	FK Siauliai II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	15	13	1	1	39	9	40
2	FK Babrungas	15	12	3	0	26	4	39
3	FK BE1	15	10	2	3	28	15	32
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	15	9	1	5	20	17	28
5	FK Tauras	15	9	1	5	27	16	28
6	DFK Dainava	15	8	3	4	26	15	27
7	FK Garliava	15	6	4	5	22	14	22
8	BFA Vilnius	15	7	1	7	18	24	22
9	FK Atmosfera	15	6	3	6	23	17	21
10	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	15	5	3	7	21	25	18
11	Lietava Jonava	15	4	5	6	18	20	17
12	FK Transinvest II	15	4	2	9	13	36	14
13	FC Hegelmann II	15	4	1	10	16	32	13
14	FK Ekranas	15	2	1	12	15	29	7
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	15	2	1	12	7	24	7
16	FK Siauliai II	15	1	4	10	13	35	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tauras	FK Siauliai II
FK Transinvest II	1-0 W	1-2 L
FK Ekranas	2-1 W	2-2 D
FK BE1	0-1 L	2-5 L
FC Hegelmann II	6-1 W	2-0 W
FK Minija	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Tauras (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tauras

LWDWLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	3-1	3	3	W
27/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
20/06	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
12/06	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
30/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	4-1	6-1	4	0	W
23/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
16/05	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
08/05	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-2	7	8	D
02/05	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
25/04	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L

FK Siauliai II

LWLDLDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	1	3	L
27/06	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
21/06	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	5	2	L
14/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
29/05	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	0	3	D
24/05	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
17/05	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
08/05	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-5	1	2	L
03/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
25/04	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tauras vs FK Siauliai II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tauras win (78%). Probabilities: FK Tauras 78%, draw 14%, FK Siauliai II 8%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tauras vs FK Siauliai II?

The model expects 3.95 goals (FK Tauras 2.97 · FK Siauliai II 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tauras vs FK Siauliai II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.