Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 20/07, 17:00

Prediction: FK Transinvest II vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

FK Transinvest II0.93

FK Neptunas Klaipeda2.07

1X2

16% 21% 63%

FK Transinvest II Draw FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest II 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWLL

FK Neptunas Klaipeda 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

FK Transinvest II 0–1 FK Neptunas Klaipeda (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1423 · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 1564

	FK Transinvest II	Draw	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
Our model	15%	22%	63%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Neptunas Klaipeda (rating 1423 vs 1564).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest II	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.7	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.93

2 (-1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +8’	5.50	4.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest II 0–0–1 FK Neptunas Klaipeda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Transinvest II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	16	14	1	1	41	10	43
2	FK Babrungas	15	12	3	0	26	4	39
3	FK BE1	15	10	2	3	28	15	32
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	15	9	1	5	20	17	28
5	FK Tauras	15	9	1	5	27	16	28
6	DFK Dainava	15	8	3	4	26	15	27
7	FK Garliava	15	6	4	5	22	14	22
8	BFA Vilnius	15	7	1	7	18	24	22
9	FK Atmosfera	15	6	3	6	23	17	21
10	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	15	5	3	7	21	25	18
11	Lietava Jonava	16	4	5	7	19	22	17
12	FK Transinvest II	15	4	2	9	13	36	14
13	FC Hegelmann II	15	4	1	10	16	32	13
14	FK Ekranas	15	2	1	12	15	29	7
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	15	2	1	12	7	24	7
16	FK Siauliai II	15	1	4	10	13	35	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest II	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	0-1 L	2-1 W
FK Ekranas	0-4 L	2-1 W
FK BE1	0-2 L	1-0 W
FC Hegelmann II	2-1 W	3-2 W
FK Minija	1-7 L	1-3 L
Lietava Jonava	0-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Neptunas Klaipeda (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Transinvest II

LLWLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/06	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
14/06	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
10/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
30/05	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
22/05	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
15/05	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
11/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
03/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-7	2	0	L
25/04	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-4	7	0	L

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

WWWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
18/06	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
10/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
05/06	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	5	10	W
30/05	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
22/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	3-2	8	4	W
16/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
08/05	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
02/05	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
25/04	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	3-1	2	12	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest II vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Neptunas Klaipeda win (63%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest II 16%, draw 21%, FK Neptunas Klaipeda 63%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest II vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?

The model expects 3.01 goals (FK Transinvest II 0.93 · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 2.07), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest II vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.