Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 31/07, 17:30
Prediction: FK BE1 vs Lietava Jonava
Team pages: FK BE1 · Lietava Jonava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
FK BE11.56
Lietava Jonava0.99
1X2
FK BE1
Draw
Lietava Jonava
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK BE1
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Lietava Jonava
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK BE1
2–2–1
Lietava Jonava
(5 last)
- Lietava Jonava2-2FK BE1
- Lietava Jonava2-1FK BE1
- FK BE10-0Lietava Jonava
- FK BE14-1Lietava Jonava
- Lietava Jonava1-5FK BE1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK BE1 1544 · Lietava Jonava 1480
| FK BE1 | Draw | Lietava Jonava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK BE1 (rating 1544 vs 1480).
- H2H favours FK BE1: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK BE1 | Lietava Jonava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 6.9 | 1.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK BE1 2–2–1 Lietava Jonava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga | Lietava Jonava | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FK BE1 |
| 02/08/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | Lietava Jonava | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FK BE1 |
| 28/03/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK BE1 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lietava Jonava |
| 27/10/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK BE1 | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Lietava Jonava |
| 09/06/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga | Lietava Jonava | 1-5 HT 1-2 | FK BE1 |
Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Babrungas | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 45 |
| 2 | FK Minija | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | FK Tauras | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 34 |
| 4 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 32 |
| 5 | FK BE1 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 18 | 32 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 28 |
| 7 | DFK Dainava | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 27 |
| 8 | FK Atmosfera | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | FK Garliava | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 22 |
| 10 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 11 | Lietava Jonava | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| 12 | FK Transinvest II | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 15 |
| 13 | FC Hegelmann II | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 13 |
| 14 | FK Ekranas | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 35 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 30 | 7 |
| 16 | FK Siauliai II | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK BE1 | Lietava Jonava |
|---|---|---|
| BFA Vilnius | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Atmosfera | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Babrungas | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Tauras | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK BE1
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Lietava Jonava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK BE1 vs Lietava Jonava?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK BE1 win (50%). Probabilities: FK BE1 50%, draw 26%, Lietava Jonava 23%.
How many goals are expected in FK BE1 vs Lietava Jonava?
The model expects 2.55 goals (FK BE1 1.56 · Lietava Jonava 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK BE1 vs Lietava Jonava?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.