Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Team pages: FK Tauras · FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

FK Tauras1.71

FK Neptunas Klaipeda1.14

1X2

51% 24% 25%

FK Tauras Draw FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tauras 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWWWD

FK Neptunas Klaipeda 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLDWW

Head-to-head

FK Tauras 1–1–4 FK Neptunas Klaipeda (6 last)

FK Neptunas Klaipeda1-0FK Tauras
FK Tauras1-0FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Tauras1-4FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Neptunas Klaipeda1-1FK Tauras
FK Tauras0-1FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Neptunas Klaipeda2-1FK Tauras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Tauras 1547 · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 1565

	FK Tauras	Draw	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
Our model	50%	26%	24%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Neptunas Klaipeda: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tauras	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73
X	3.90 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.90 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:14 +2’	1.95	3.90	2.90
11:08 +10’	1.73▼	4.10▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tauras 1–1–4 FK Neptunas Klaipeda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Tauras
02/02/26 Europe Friendlies	FK Tauras	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
13/09/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	1-4 HT 0-3	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
09/05/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Tauras
05/10/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
17/05/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Tauras

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	18	15	3	0	31	4	48
2	FK Minija	18	15	1	2	45	11	46
3	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	18	11	2	5	25	20	35
4	FK Tauras	18	11	2	5	35	20	35
5	FK BE1	17	10	2	5	29	20	32
6	DFK Dainava	17	9	4	4	30	17	31
7	BFA Vilnius	18	9	1	8	25	27	28
8	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	18	7	4	7	25	26	25
9	FK Atmosfera	17	7	3	7	28	21	24
10	Lietava Jonava	18	6	5	7	22	22	23
11	FK Garliava	17	6	4	7	22	16	22
12	FK Transinvest II	18	4	3	11	16	42	15
13	FC Hegelmann II	18	4	1	13	17	42	13
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	18	3	1	14	12	31	10
15	FK Siauliai II	18	2	4	12	16	40	10
16	FK Ekranas	18	2	2	14	17	36	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tauras	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
DFK Dainava	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	4-2 W	2-1 W
FK Siauliai II	3-1 W	2-1 W
FK Transinvest II	1-0 W	2-2 D
FK Ekranas	2-1 W	2-1 W
FK BE1	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Hegelmann II	6-1 W	3-2 W
FK Minija	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Tauras (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tauras

WLWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
24/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	4-2	6	4	W
19/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
01/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	3-1	3	3	W
27/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
20/06	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
12/06	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
30/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	4-1	6-1	4	0	W
23/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
16/05	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

LWWWWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
25/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
20/07	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
27/06	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
18/06	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
10/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
05/06	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	5	10	W
30/05	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
22/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	3-2	8	4	W
16/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tauras win (51%). Probabilities: FK Tauras 51%, draw 24%, FK Neptunas Klaipeda 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?

The model expects 2.85 goals (FK Tauras 1.71 · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 1.14), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.