Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 07/08, 18:00

Prediction: Lietava Jonava vs FK Ekranas

Team pages: Lietava Jonava · FK Ekranas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Lietava Jonava1.63

FK Ekranas0.9

1X2

55% 25% 21%

Lietava Jonava Draw FK Ekranas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lietava Jonava 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDDWLLWW

FK Ekranas 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Lietava Jonava 1–1–4 FK Ekranas (6 last)

FK Ekranas1-2Lietava Jonava
FK Ekranas1-0Lietava Jonava
Lietava Jonava0-2FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas0-0Lietava Jonava
FK Ekranas4-3Lietava Jonava
Lietava Jonava1-4FK Ekranas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lietava Jonava 1498 · FK Ekranas 1431

	Lietava Jonava	Draw	FK Ekranas
Our model	53%	27%	20%
Market	56%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lietava Jonava (rating 1498 vs 1431).
H2H favours FK Ekranas: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lietava Jonava	FK Ekranas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.60▼	Bet365 1.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:04 +3’	1.61	3.90	4.10
13:16 +6’	1.60▼	3.90	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lietava Jonava 1–1–4 FK Ekranas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-2 HT 0-0	Lietava Jonava
21/02/26 Club Friendly List	FK Ekranas	1-0 HT 1-0	Lietava Jonava
09/11/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	Lietava Jonava	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Ekranas
27/06/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	0-0 HT 0-0	Lietava Jonava
29/09/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	4-3 HT 2-0	Lietava Jonava
14/05/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	Lietava Jonava	1-4 HT 0-2	FK Ekranas

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	18	15	3	0	31	4	48
2	FK Minija	18	15	1	2	45	11	46
3	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	18	11	2	5	25	20	35
4	FK Tauras	18	11	2	5	35	20	35
5	FK BE1	17	10	2	5	29	20	32
6	DFK Dainava	17	9	4	4	30	17	31
7	BFA Vilnius	18	9	1	8	25	27	28
8	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	18	7	4	7	25	26	25
9	FK Atmosfera	17	7	3	7	28	21	24
10	Lietava Jonava	18	6	5	7	22	22	23
11	FK Garliava	17	6	4	7	22	16	22
12	FK Transinvest II	18	4	3	11	16	42	15
13	FC Hegelmann II	18	4	1	13	17	42	13
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	18	3	1	14	12	31	10
15	FK Siauliai II	18	2	4	12	16	40	10
16	FK Ekranas	18	2	2	14	17	36	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lietava Jonava	FK Ekranas
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK Atmosfera	1-1 D	1-2 L
BFA Vilnius	0-1 L	1-4 L
FK Babrungas	1-1 D	0-2 L
FK Tauras	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lietava Jonava (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lietava Jonava

LDLDDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/07	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
18/07	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	1	4	L
27/06	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
21/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
12/06	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/06	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
30/05	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
22/05	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
16/05	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	6	5	L

FK Ekranas

DWLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	9	2	D
25/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
02/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
27/06	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
20/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
05/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	4	10	L
29/05	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
22/05	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
17/05	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-2	8	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lietava Jonava vs FK Ekranas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lietava Jonava win (55%). Probabilities: Lietava Jonava 55%, draw 25%, FK Ekranas 21%.

How many goals are expected in Lietava Jonava vs FK Ekranas?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Lietava Jonava 1.63 · FK Ekranas 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lietava Jonava vs FK Ekranas?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.