Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 14/08, 18:00

Prediction: FK Transinvest II vs FK Atmosfera

Team pages: FK Transinvest II · FK Atmosfera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

FK Transinvest II0.95

FK Atmosfera1.91

1X2

18% 22% 59%

FK Transinvest II Draw FK Atmosfera

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLDLLL

FK Atmosfera 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLWLWLD

Head-to-head

FK Transinvest II 1–0 FK Atmosfera (1 last)

FK Atmosfera1-2FK Transinvest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1420 · FK Atmosfera 1465

	FK Transinvest II	Draw	FK Atmosfera
Our model	17%	24%	59%
Market	19%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Atmosfera (rating 1420 vs 1465).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest II	FK Atmosfera
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.2	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.20

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:44 +12’	4.75	4.20	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest II 1–0–0 FK Atmosfera

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Atmosfera	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Transinvest II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	19	16	1	2	48	11	49
2	FK Babrungas	19	15	3	1	32	6	48
3	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	19	12	2	5	27	20	38
4	FK Tauras	19	11	2	6	35	22	35
5	DFK Dainava	18	10	4	4	32	18	34
6	FK BE1	18	10	2	6	29	23	32
7	BFA Vilnius	19	10	1	8	29	29	31
8	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	19	8	4	7	27	27	28
9	FK Atmosfera	18	7	4	7	29	22	25
10	Lietava Jonava	19	6	5	8	23	24	23
11	FK Garliava	18	6	4	8	23	19	22
12	FC Hegelmann II	19	5	1	13	20	43	16
13	FK Transinvest II	19	4	3	12	18	46	15
14	FK Ekranas	19	3	2	14	19	37	11
15	FK Siauliai II	19	2	5	12	17	41	11
16	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	19	3	1	15	13	33	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest II	FK Atmosfera
FK Garliava	0-3 L	1-1 D
FK Siauliai II	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	0-1 L	1-3 L
FK Ekranas	0-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Transinvest II

LLLWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
03/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
28/07	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
20/07	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
27/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/06	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
14/06	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
10/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
30/05	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
22/05	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	0-4	6	3	L

FK Atmosfera

LDWDLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
01/08	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
25/07	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	4-1	5	6	W
01/07	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
27/06	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-1	2	2	W
20/06	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
12/06	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
30/05	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	10	1	W
23/05	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
20/05	Panevezys Lithuania Cup	0-1	0-3	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest II vs FK Atmosfera?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Atmosfera win (59%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest II 18%, draw 22%, FK Atmosfera 59%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest II vs FK Atmosfera?

The model expects 2.86 goals (FK Transinvest II 0.95 · FK Atmosfera 1.91), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest II vs FK Atmosfera?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.