Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 21/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Babrungas vs FK Tauras

Team pages: FK Babrungas · FK Tauras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

FK Babrungas1.4

FK Tauras0.99

1X2

46% 27% 27%

FK Babrungas Draw FK Tauras

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Babrungas 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWLW

FK Tauras 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWDLW

Head-to-head

FK Babrungas 2–3–1 FK Tauras (6 last)

FK Tauras1-2FK Babrungas
FK Babrungas1-2FK Tauras
FK Tauras0-0FK Babrungas
FK Tauras1-1FK Babrungas
FK Babrungas2-2FK Tauras
FK Babrungas2-1FK Tauras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Babrungas 1591 · FK Tauras 1553

	FK Babrungas	Draw	FK Tauras
Our model	45%	30%	25%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Babrungas: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Babrungas	FK Tauras
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.2	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +1’	1.90	3.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Babrungas 2–3–1 FK Tauras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	1-2 HT 0-2	FK Babrungas
29/08/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Babrungas	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Tauras
03/05/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Babrungas
21/09/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Babrungas
02/05/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Babrungas	2-2 HT 1-2	FK Tauras
29/06/20 Lithuania Cup	FK Babrungas	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Tauras

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	20	17	1	2	53	11	52
2	FK Babrungas	20	16	3	1	36	6	51
3	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	20	12	2	6	27	24	38
4	FK Tauras	20	12	2	6	36	22	38
5	FK BE1	19	11	2	6	31	24	35
6	DFK Dainava	19	10	5	4	32	18	35
7	BFA Vilnius	20	10	2	8	29	29	32
8	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	20	9	4	7	31	28	31
9	FK Atmosfera	19	7	4	8	29	24	25
10	Lietava Jonava	20	6	5	9	24	26	23
11	FK Garliava	19	6	4	9	23	20	22
12	FK Transinvest II	20	5	3	12	20	46	18
13	FC Hegelmann II	20	5	1	14	21	45	16
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	20	4	1	15	15	34	13
15	FK Ekranas	20	3	2	15	19	42	11
16	FK Siauliai II	20	2	5	13	18	45	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Babrungas	FK Tauras
FK Neptunas Klaipeda	4-0 W	0-2 L
DFK Dainava	1-2 L	1-1 D
FK Transinvest II	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Ekranas	2-0 W	2-1 W
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	2-0 W	4-2 W
FK Siauliai II	1-0 W	3-1 W
FK BE1	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Hegelmann II	1-0 W	6-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Babrungas

WWWDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
08/08	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
03/08	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
19/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
27/06	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/06	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/06	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
12/06	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

FK Tauras

WLWWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
08/08	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
02/08	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
24/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	4-2	6	4	W
19/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
01/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	3-1	3	3	W
27/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
20/06	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
12/06	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
30/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	4-1	6-1	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Babrungas vs FK Tauras?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Babrungas win (46%). Probabilities: FK Babrungas 46%, draw 27%, FK Tauras 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Babrungas vs FK Tauras?

The model expects 2.39 goals (FK Babrungas 1.4 · FK Tauras 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Babrungas vs FK Tauras?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.