Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: FK Ekranas vs FK BE1

Team pages: FK Ekranas · FK BE1

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FK Ekranas1.03

FK BE11.85

1X2

20% 24% 56%

FK Ekranas Draw FK BE1

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ekranas 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDWLL

FK BE1 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLWW

Head-to-head

FK Ekranas 3–1–2 FK BE1 (6 last)

FK BE12-1FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas1-3FK BE1
FK BE10-1FK Ekranas
FK BE11-1FK Ekranas
FK BE10-1FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas2-1FK BE1

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ekranas 1394 · FK BE1 1514

	FK Ekranas	Draw	FK BE1
Our model	20%	25%	55%
Market	21%	23%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK BE1 (rating 1394 vs 1514).
H2H favours FK Ekranas: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ekranas	FK BE1
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	2.7 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +7’	4.33	4.00	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ekranas 3–1–2 FK BE1

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Ekranas
21/09/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-3 HT 0-0	FK BE1
16/05/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Ekranas
20/09/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Ekranas
07/05/24 Lithuania Cup	FK BE1	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Ekranas
04/05/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	2-1 HT 0-0	FK BE1

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	21	16	4	1	37	7	52
2	FK Minija	20	17	1	2	53	11	52
3	FK Tauras	21	12	3	6	37	23	39
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	21	12	2	7	27	26	38
5	FK BE1	20	12	2	6	33	24	38
6	DFK Dainava	20	10	6	4	33	19	36
7	BFA Vilnius	21	11	2	8	31	29	35
8	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	21	10	4	7	35	31	34
9	FK Atmosfera	20	7	5	8	30	25	26
10	Lietava Jonava	21	6	5	10	24	27	23
11	FK Garliava	20	6	4	10	23	22	22
12	FC Hegelmann II	21	6	1	14	24	47	19
13	FK Transinvest II	21	5	3	13	23	50	18
14	FK Siauliai II	21	3	5	13	19	45	14
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	20	4	1	15	15	34	13
16	FK Ekranas	21	3	2	16	21	45	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ekranas	FK BE1
FC Hegelmann II	2-3 L	2-1 W
FK Minija	0-5 L	0-3 L
Lietava Jonava	2-1 W	0-2 L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-1 D	2-1 W
FK Babrungas	0-2 L	0-1 L
BFA Vilnius	1-4 L	1-3 L
FK Atmosfera	1-2 L	1-0 W
FK Tauras	1-2 L	1-0 W
FK Neptunas Klaipeda	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 7 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK BE1 (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ekranas

LLLLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
14/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
07/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	9	2	D
25/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
02/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
27/06	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
20/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
05/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	4	10	L

FK BE1

LWLWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
08/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
31/07	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
26/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-3	9	4	L
01/07	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
26/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	10	1	W
19/06	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
12/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
30/05	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ekranas vs FK BE1?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK BE1 win (56%). Probabilities: FK Ekranas 20%, draw 24%, FK BE1 56%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ekranas vs FK BE1?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FK Ekranas 1.03 · FK BE1 1.85), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ekranas vs FK BE1?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.