Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 29/08, 14:00

Prediction: FK Transinvest II vs Lietava Jonava

Team pages: FK Transinvest II · Lietava Jonava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

FK Transinvest II1.22

Lietava Jonava1.6

1X2

29% 26% 46%

FK Transinvest II Draw Lietava Jonava

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLLWL

Lietava Jonava 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

FK Transinvest II 0–1–2 Lietava Jonava (3 last)

Lietava Jonava4-0FK Transinvest II
FK Transinvest II1-1Lietava Jonava
Lietava Jonava2-1FK Transinvest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1430 · Lietava Jonava 1478

	FK Transinvest II	Draw	Lietava Jonava
Our model	28%	27%	45%
Market	29%	25%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lietava Jonava (rating 1430 vs 1478).
H2H favours Lietava Jonava: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest II	Lietava Jonava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	1.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.60

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +4’	3.10	3.60	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest II 0–1–2 Lietava Jonava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	Lietava Jonava	4-0 HT 2-0	FK Transinvest II
25/10/24 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Transinvest II	1-1 HT 1-1	Lietava Jonava
02/07/24 Lithuania II Lyga	Lietava Jonava	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Transinvest II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	21	16	4	1	37	7	52
2	FK Minija	20	17	1	2	53	11	52
3	FK Tauras	21	12	3	6	37	23	39
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	21	12	2	7	27	26	38
5	FK BE1	20	12	2	6	33	24	38
6	DFK Dainava	20	10	6	4	33	19	36
7	BFA Vilnius	21	11	2	8	31	29	35
8	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	21	10	4	7	35	31	34
9	FK Atmosfera	20	7	5	8	30	25	26
10	Lietava Jonava	21	6	5	10	24	27	23
11	FK Garliava	20	6	4	10	23	22	22
12	FC Hegelmann II	21	6	1	14	24	47	19
13	FK Transinvest II	21	5	3	13	23	50	18
14	FK Siauliai II	21	3	5	13	19	45	14
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	20	4	1	15	15	34	13
16	FK Ekranas	21	3	2	16	21	45	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest II	Lietava Jonava
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	3-4 L	2-1 W
FK Atmosfera	2-0 W	1-1 D
FK Garliava	0-3 L	1-0 W
FK Siauliai II	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Transinvest II

LWLLDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-3	3-4	9	7	L
14/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
03/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
28/07	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
20/07	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
27/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
19/06	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
14/06	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
10/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L

Lietava Jonava

DDWLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
14/08	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
07/08	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
31/07	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/07	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
18/07	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	1	4	L
27/06	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
21/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
12/06	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/06	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest II vs Lietava Jonava?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lietava Jonava win (46%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest II 29%, draw 26%, Lietava Jonava 46%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest II vs Lietava Jonava?

The model expects 2.81 goals (FK Transinvest II 1.22 · Lietava Jonava 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest II vs Lietava Jonava?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.