Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Ekranas vs FK Garliava

Team pages: FK Ekranas · FK Garliava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

FK Ekranas1.07

FK Garliava1.69

1X2

24% 25% 51%

FK Ekranas Draw FK Garliava

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ekranas 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWLLL

FK Garliava 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Ekranas 2–4 FK Garliava (6 last)

FK Garliava3-1FK Ekranas
FK Garliava1-0FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas1-0FK Garliava
FK Garliava1-0FK Ekranas
FK Garliava4-0FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas1-0FK Garliava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ekranas 1402 · FK Garliava 1421

	FK Ekranas	Draw	FK Garliava
Our model	23%	26%	51%
Market	24%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Garliava: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ekranas	FK Garliava
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.8	0.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.2	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.75

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:40 +15’	3.70	3.75	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ekranas 2–0–4 FK Garliava

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Garliava	3-1 HT 1-1	FK Ekranas
07/05/25 Lithuania Cup	FK Garliava	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Ekranas
16/08/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Garliava
23/03/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Garliava	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Ekranas
04/11/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Garliava	4-0 HT 3-0	FK Ekranas
25/06/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Garliava

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	22	17	4	1	38	7	55
2	FK Minija	21	18	1	2	55	12	55
3	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	22	13	2	7	30	27	41
4	FK BE1	21	13	2	6	38	24	41
5	FK Tauras	22	12	4	6	39	25	40
6	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	22	11	4	7	36	31	37
7	DFK Dainava	21	10	6	5	33	20	36
8	BFA Vilnius	22	11	3	8	33	31	36
9	FK Atmosfera	21	7	5	9	31	28	26
10	Lietava Jonava	22	7	5	10	26	28	26
11	FK Garliava	21	6	4	11	23	23	22
12	FC Hegelmann II	22	6	1	15	24	50	19
13	FK Transinvest II	22	5	3	14	24	52	18
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	21	5	1	15	18	34	16
15	FK Siauliai II	22	3	5	14	20	47	14
16	FK Ekranas	22	3	2	17	21	50	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ekranas	FK Garliava
FK BE1	0-5 L	0-2 L
FC Hegelmann II	2-3 L	1-3 L
FK Minija	0-5 L	0-1 L
Lietava Jonava	2-1 W	0-1 L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-1 D	1-2 L
FK Babrungas	0-2 L	0-1 L
FK Tauras	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 0 D 7 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ekranas

LLLLLDWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	3	2	L
21/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
14/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
07/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	9	2	D
25/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
02/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
27/06	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
20/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L

FK Garliava

LLWLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
21/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
15/08	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
07/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	4	5	L
01/08	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
25/07	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
26/06	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
19/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
13/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
08/06	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ekranas vs FK Garliava?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Garliava win (51%). Probabilities: FK Ekranas 24%, draw 25%, FK Garliava 51%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ekranas vs FK Garliava?

The model expects 2.76 goals (FK Ekranas 1.07 · FK Garliava 1.69), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ekranas vs FK Garliava?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.