Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: FK Garliava vs BFA Vilnius
Team pages: FK Garliava · BFA Vilnius
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
FK Garliava0.89
BFA Vilnius1.56
1X2
FK Garliava
Draw
BFA Vilnius
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Garliava
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
BFA Vilnius
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Garliava
1–2–3
BFA Vilnius
(6 last)
- BFA Vilnius2-1FK Garliava
- BFA Vilnius1-2FK Garliava
- FK Garliava2-2BFA Vilnius
- BFA Vilnius1-0FK Garliava
- BFA Vilnius2-0FK Garliava
- FK Garliava1-1BFA Vilnius
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BFA Vilnius (rating 1407 vs 1563).
- H2H favours BFA Vilnius: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Garliava | BFA Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Garliava 1–2–3 BFA Vilnius
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Lithuania Cup | BFA Vilnius | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FK Garliava |
| 09/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga | BFA Vilnius | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FK Garliava |
| 09/08/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Garliava | 2-2 HT 1-1 | BFA Vilnius |
| 16/03/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga | BFA Vilnius | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Garliava |
| 08/11/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga | BFA Vilnius | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Garliava |
| 01/07/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Garliava | 1-1 HT 0-1 | BFA Vilnius |
Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Babrungas | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 11 | 58 |
| 2 | FK Minija | 22 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 12 | 58 |
| 3 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | FK BE1 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 24 | 44 |
| 5 | FK Tauras | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 40 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 31 | 40 |
| 7 | BFA Vilnius | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 39 |
| 8 | DFK Dainava | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 20 | 37 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 29 |
| 10 | Lietava Jonava | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 30 | 27 |
| 11 | FC Hegelmann II | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 55 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Garliava | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 24 | 22 |
| 13 | FK Transinvest II | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 56 | 21 |
| 14 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 35 | 16 |
| 15 | FK Ekranas | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 50 | 14 |
| 16 | FK Siauliai II | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 52 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Garliava | BFA Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| FK Ekranas | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| FK Babrungas | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FK BE1 | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| FK Tauras | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Transinvest II | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: BFA Vilnius (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Garliava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 29/08 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 26/06 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
BFA Vilnius
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/07 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Garliava vs BFA Vilnius?
According to our model, the most likely result is an BFA Vilnius win (52%). Probabilities: FK Garliava 20%, draw 28%, BFA Vilnius 52%.
How many goals are expected in FK Garliava vs BFA Vilnius?
The model expects 2.45 goals (FK Garliava 0.89 · BFA Vilnius 1.56), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Garliava vs BFA Vilnius?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.