Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 14/09, 18:00

Prediction: FK Siauliai II vs FK BE1

Team pages: FK Siauliai II · FK BE1

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

FK Siauliai II1.17

FK BE11.95

1X2

22% 23% 55%

FK Siauliai II Draw FK BE1

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Siauliai II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDLWLL

FK BE1 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

FK Siauliai II 0–6 FK BE1 (6 last)

FK BE15-2FK Siauliai II
FK BE13-0FK Siauliai II
FK Siauliai II0-2FK BE1
FK BE13-2FK Siauliai II
FK Siauliai II1-5FK BE1
FK BE12-1FK Siauliai II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Siauliai II 1421 · FK BE1 1546

	FK Siauliai II	Draw	FK BE1
Our model	22%	24%	55%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK BE1 (rating 1421 vs 1546).
H2H favours FK BE1: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Siauliai II	FK BE1
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	2.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 01:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.70 ★
X	4.50 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	1.44 → 1.61▲	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:37 +5’	5.00	4.50	1.44
15:45 +5’	4.10▼	4.20▼	1.57▲
23:58 +6’	3.80▼	3.90▼	1.70▲
01:00 +2’	4.00▲	4.00▲	1.61▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +96’	4.90	3.93	1.50
23:53 +10’	4.23▼	3.61▼	1.63▲
00:23 +40’	5.32▲	3.99▲	1.45▼
04:55 +7’	5.17▼	3.93▼	1.47▲
06:18 +44’	4.95▼	3.85▼	1.50▲
07:44 +18’	4.70▼	3.77▼	1.54▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai II 0–0–6 FK BE1

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	5-2 HT 2-0	FK Siauliai II
31/10/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Siauliai II
22/06/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	0-2 HT 0-0	FK BE1
26/07/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	3-2 HT 3-1	FK Siauliai II
13/04/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	1-5 HT 0-1	FK BE1
05/08/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Siauliai II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	23	20	1	2	61	12	61
2	FK Babrungas	24	18	4	2	42	11	58
3	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	24	14	2	8	32	28	44
4	FK BE1	22	14	2	6	39	24	44
5	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	24	13	4	7	38	31	43
6	BFA Vilnius	24	13	3	8	38	34	42
7	FK Tauras	24	12	4	8	40	29	40
8	DFK Dainava	23	10	7	6	33	23	37
9	FK Atmosfera	23	8	5	10	36	32	29
10	Lietava Jonava	24	7	6	11	26	30	27
11	FC Hegelmann II	24	7	1	16	30	55	22
12	FK Garliava	23	6	4	13	25	27	22
13	FK Transinvest II	24	6	3	15	28	56	21
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	23	6	1	16	20	36	19
15	FK Ekranas	24	4	2	18	23	52	14
16	FK Siauliai II	23	3	5	15	21	52	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Siauliai II	FK BE1
FC Hegelmann II	1-5 L	2-1 W
FK Minija	1-2 L	0-3 L
Lietava Jonava	1-0 W	0-2 L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-4 L	2-1 W
FK Atmosfera	1-1 D	1-0 W
BFA Vilnius	1-0 W	1-3 L
FK Babrungas	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Siauliai II

LLLLWDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-4	1-5	3	2	L
28/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	6	8	L
21/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-4	12	3	L
08/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
02/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
25/07	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	11	4	L
19/07	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
01/07	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	1	1	L
27/06	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L

FK BE1

LWWLLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
29/08	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	5-0	3	2	W
21/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
08/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
31/07	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
26/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-3	9	4	L
01/07	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
26/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	10	1	W
19/06	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Siauliai II vs FK BE1?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK BE1 win (55%). Probabilities: FK Siauliai II 22%, draw 23%, FK BE1 55%.

How many goals are expected in FK Siauliai II vs FK BE1?

The model expects 3.12 goals (FK Siauliai II 1.17 · FK BE1 1.95), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Siauliai II vs FK BE1?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.