Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Ekranas

Team pages: FK Kauno Zalgiris II · FK Ekranas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

FK Kauno Zalgiris II1.71

FK Ekranas1.22

1X2

48% 25% 27%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II Draw FK Ekranas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLWWL

FK Ekranas 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLLLW

Head-to-head

FK Kauno Zalgiris II 2–2–2 FK Ekranas (6 last)

FK Ekranas1-0FK Kauno Zalgiris II
FK Ekranas1-4FK Kauno Zalgiris II
FK Kauno Zalgiris II1-0FK Ekranas
FK Kauno Zalgiris II2-2FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas2-0FK Kauno Zalgiris II
FK Kauno Zalgiris II2-2FK Ekranas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kauno Zalgiris II 1454 · FK Ekranas 1437

	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	Draw	FK Ekranas
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	FK Ekranas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	0.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:44 +6’	1.83	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kauno Zalgiris II 2–2–2 FK Ekranas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Kauno Zalgiris II
27/07/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-4 HT 1-3	FK Kauno Zalgiris II
14/03/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Ekranas
02/11/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	2-2 HT 2-0	FK Ekranas
16/06/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Kauno Zalgiris II
07/08/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	2-2 HT 1-0	FK Ekranas

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	22	19	1	2	58	12	58
2	FK Babrungas	23	17	4	2	39	9	55
3	FK BE1	22	14	2	6	39	24	44
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	23	13	2	8	30	28	41
5	FK Tauras	23	12	4	7	40	28	40
6	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	23	12	4	7	37	31	40
7	BFA Vilnius	23	12	3	8	35	32	39
8	DFK Dainava	22	10	7	5	33	20	37
9	FK Atmosfera	22	8	5	9	34	29	29
10	Lietava Jonava	23	7	6	10	26	28	27
11	FC Hegelmann II	23	7	1	15	29	51	22
12	FK Garliava	22	6	4	12	23	24	22
13	FK Transinvest II	23	5	3	15	24	55	18
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	22	5	1	16	18	35	16
15	FK Ekranas	23	4	2	17	22	50	14
16	FK Siauliai II	23	3	5	15	21	52	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	FK Ekranas
FK BE1	0-1 L	0-5 L
FC Hegelmann II	3-0 W	2-3 L
Lietava Jonava	2-1 W	2-1 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-2 L	1-1 D
FK Atmosfera	3-1 W	1-2 L
FK Babrungas	0-2 L	0-2 L
BFA Vilnius	0-1 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kauno Zalgiris II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

LDLLLWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
29/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	3-0	12	3	W
14/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
10/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
01/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	3-1	4	3	W
24/07	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-4	4	4	L
19/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
28/06	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
24/06	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
18/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	7	3	L

FK Ekranas

LLLLDWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	12	9	W
29/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	3	2	L
21/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
14/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
07/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	9	2	D
25/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
02/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
27/06	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Ekranas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (48%). Probabilities: FK Kauno Zalgiris II 48%, draw 25%, FK Ekranas 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Ekranas?

The model expects 2.92 goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris II 1.71 · FK Ekranas 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Ekranas?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.