Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Transinvest II vs FK Ekranas

Team pages: FK Transinvest II · FK Ekranas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

FK Transinvest II2.38

FK Ekranas1.44

1X2

57% 21% 22%

FK Transinvest II Draw FK Ekranas

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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FK Ekranas 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Transinvest II 0–1 FK Ekranas (1 last)

FK Ekranas4-0FK Transinvest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1440 · FK Ekranas 1426

	FK Transinvest II	Draw	FK Ekranas
Our model	58%	21%	22%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest II	FK Ekranas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.2	1 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	1.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.5	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:30 +3’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest II 0–0–1 FK Ekranas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	4-0 HT 3-0	FK Transinvest II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68	13	67
2	FK Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43	11	61
3	FK BE1	24	16	2	6	43	25	50
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	25	14	2	9	33	30	44
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39	35	43
6	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	25	13	4	8	38	32	43
7	FK Tauras	25	13	4	8	43	31	43
8	DFK Dainava	25	11	7	7	35	25	40
9	FK Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37	33	30
10	FK Garliava	25	8	4	13	31	28	28
11	Lietava Jonava	25	7	6	12	28	33	27
12	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	25	7	1	17	23	43	22
13	FK Transinvest II	25	6	3	16	29	58	21
14	FC Hegelmann II	25	6	1	18	27	58	19
15	FK Siauliai II	25	4	5	16	27	56	17
16	FK Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25	58	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest II	FK Ekranas
FK BE1	1-2 L	0-5 L
FC Hegelmann II	4-1 W	2-3 L
FK Minija	0-3 L	0-5 L
Lietava Jonava	1-2 L	2-1 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	3-4 L	1-1 D
BFA Vilnius	2-4 L	1-4 L
FK Babrungas	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Transinvest II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Transinvest II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
11/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
05/09	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
29/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
25/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-3	3-4	9	7	L
14/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
03/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
28/07	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
20/07	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-2	1	3	D

FK Ekranas

LLDWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-6	6	9	L
12/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	12	9	W
29/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	3	2	L
21/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
14/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
07/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	9	2	D
25/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	1-4	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest II vs FK Ekranas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Transinvest II win (57%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest II 57%, draw 21%, FK Ekranas 22%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest II vs FK Ekranas?

The model expects 3.82 goals (FK Transinvest II 2.38 · FK Ekranas 1.44), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest II vs FK Ekranas?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.