Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 16/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Transinvest II

Team pages: FK Kauno Zalgiris II · FK Transinvest II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

FK Kauno Zalgiris II1.95

FK Transinvest II1.58

1X2

46% 23% 31%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II Draw FK Transinvest II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kauno Zalgiris II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWWLD

FK Transinvest II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLWLD

Head-to-head

FK Kauno Zalgiris II 1–0 FK Transinvest II (1 last)

FK Transinvest II0-1FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kauno Zalgiris II 1519 · FK Transinvest II 1436

	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	Draw	FK Transinvest II
Our model	46%	24%	31%
Market	46%	23%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kauno Zalgiris II (rating 1519 vs 1436).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	FK Transinvest II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.90

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +6’	1.95	3.90	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kauno Zalgiris II 1–0–0 FK Transinvest II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Transinvest II	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68	13	67
2	FK Babrungas	26	20	4	2	45	11	64
3	FK BE1	25	16	3	6	45	27	51
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	26	14	4	8	40	33	46
5	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	26	14	2	10	33	31	44
6	BFA Vilnius	26	13	4	9	40	37	43
7	FK Tauras	25	13	4	8	43	31	43
8	DFK Dainava	26	11	8	7	37	27	41
9	FK Atmosfera	25	8	7	10	37	33	31
10	FK Garliava	26	8	5	13	31	28	29
11	Lietava Jonava	26	7	6	13	28	35	27
12	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	26	7	2	17	26	46	23
13	FK Transinvest II	26	6	4	16	30	59	22
14	FC Hegelmann II	26	7	1	18	28	58	22
15	FK Siauliai II	26	4	6	16	30	59	18
16	FK Ekranas	26	4	3	19	26	59	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	FK Transinvest II
FK Minija	0-5 L	0-3 L
FK Ekranas	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK BE1	0-1 L	1-2 L
FC Hegelmann II	3-0 W	4-1 W
Lietava Jonava	2-1 W	1-2 L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-2 L	3-4 L
FK Atmosfera	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kauno Zalgiris II (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

LWLWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	3-3	8	3	D
02/10	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	0-5	4	3	L
19/09	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
12/09	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-1	8	4	W
04/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
29/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	3-0	12	3	W
14/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
10/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
01/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	3-1	4	3	W
24/07	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	2-4	4	4	L

FK Transinvest II

LLLWLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
18/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
11/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
05/09	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
29/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
25/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-3	3-4	9	7	L
14/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
03/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
28/07	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-3	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Transinvest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (46%). Probabilities: FK Kauno Zalgiris II 46%, draw 23%, FK Transinvest II 31%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Transinvest II?

The model expects 3.53 goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris II 1.95 · FK Transinvest II 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK Transinvest II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.