Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 16/10, 18:00
Prediction: FC Hegelmann II vs FK Tauras
Team pages: FC Hegelmann II · FK Tauras
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
FC Hegelmann II1.39
FK Tauras1.92
1X2
FC Hegelmann II
Draw
FK Tauras
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Hegelmann II
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
FK Tauras
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Hegelmann II
1–3–2
FK Tauras
(6 last)
- FK Tauras6-1FC Hegelmann II
- FK Tauras0-0FC Hegelmann II
- FC Hegelmann II1-0FK Tauras
- FC Hegelmann II3-3FK Tauras
- FK Tauras1-1FC Hegelmann II
- FK Tauras3-1FC Hegelmann II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Hegelmann II 1441 · FK Tauras 1520
| FC Hegelmann II | Draw | FK Tauras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Tauras (rating 1441 vs 1520).
- H2H favours FK Tauras: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Hegelmann II | FK Tauras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 2.9 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Hegelmann II 1–3–2 FK Tauras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Tauras | 6-1 HT 4-1 | FC Hegelmann II |
| 09/11/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Tauras | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Hegelmann II |
| 27/06/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FC Hegelmann II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Tauras |
| 17/08/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FC Hegelmann II | 3-3 HT 0-1 | FK Tauras |
| 23/03/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Tauras | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Hegelmann II |
| 09/09/23 Lithuania II Lyga | FK Tauras | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Hegelmann II |
Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 64 |
| 3 | FK BE1 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 51 |
| 4 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 46 |
| 5 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 44 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
| 7 | FK Tauras | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 43 |
| 8 | DFK Dainava | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 41 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Garliava | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 28 | 29 |
| 11 | Lietava Jonava | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 46 | 23 |
| 13 | FK Transinvest II | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 59 | 22 |
| 14 | FC Hegelmann II | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 28 | 58 | 22 |
| 15 | FK Siauliai II | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 59 | 18 |
| 16 | FK Ekranas | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 26 | 59 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Hegelmann II | FK Tauras |
|---|---|---|
| FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| DFK Dainava | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Siauliai II | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 0-3 L | 4-2 W |
| FK Atmosfera | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Tauras (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Hegelmann II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
4-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
FK Tauras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Hegelmann II vs FK Tauras?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Tauras win (50%). Probabilities: FC Hegelmann II 27%, draw 23%, FK Tauras 50%.
How many goals are expected in FC Hegelmann II vs FK Tauras?
The model expects 3.31 goals (FC Hegelmann II 1.39 · FK Tauras 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Hegelmann II vs FK Tauras?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.