Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: FK Neptunas Klaipeda vs FK Ekranas

Team pages: FK Neptunas Klaipeda · FK Ekranas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FK Neptunas Klaipeda2.07

FK Ekranas0.92

1X2

64% 21% 16%

FK Neptunas Klaipeda Draw FK Ekranas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Neptunas Klaipeda 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWLLL

FK Ekranas 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLLDL

Head-to-head

FK Neptunas Klaipeda 6–0 FK Ekranas (6 last)

FK Ekranas1-2FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Neptunas Klaipeda2-1FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas1-2FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Neptunas Klaipeda3-2FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas2-4FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Neptunas Klaipeda3-1FK Ekranas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 1487 · FK Ekranas 1415

	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	Draw	FK Ekranas
Our model	63%	22%	15%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Neptunas Klaipeda (rating 1487 vs 1415).
H2H favours FK Neptunas Klaipeda: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	FK Ekranas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	1.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +8’	1.38	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 6–0–0 FK Ekranas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
03/10/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Ekranas
01/06/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
26/07/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	3-2 HT 2-2	FK Ekranas
13/04/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	2-4 HT 2-2	FK Neptunas Klaipeda
23/09/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Ekranas

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48	13	67
2	FK Minija	26	22	1	3	70	16	67
3	FK BE1	26	17	3	6	47	27	54
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	27	14	4	9	42	36	46
5	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	27	14	2	11	33	33	44
6	DFK Dainava	27	12	8	7	40	28	44
7	FK Tauras	26	13	5	8	47	35	44
8	BFA Vilnius	27	13	4	10	40	40	43
9	FK Atmosfera	26	9	7	10	40	35	34
10	FK Garliava	27	9	5	13	34	30	32
11	Lietava Jonava	27	8	6	13	31	35	30
12	FK Transinvest II	27	7	4	16	32	59	25
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26	48	23
14	FC Hegelmann II	27	7	2	18	32	62	23
15	FK Siauliai II	27	4	6	17	32	62	18
16	FK Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27	62	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	FK Ekranas
FK BE1	0-2 L	0-5 L
FC Hegelmann II	0-1 L	2-3 L
FK Minija	1-2 L	0-5 L
Lietava Jonava	2-0 W	2-1 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	0-1 L	1-1 D
FK Garliava	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Neptunas Klaipeda (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

WWLLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
10/10	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
19/09	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
11/09	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
07/09	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
29/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
22/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	10	5	L
15/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
08/08	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	2	9	W
01/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	1	1	W

FK Ekranas

DWLLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
10/10	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
19/09	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-6	6	9	L
12/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	12	9	W
29/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	3	2	L
21/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
14/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
07/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	9	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Neptunas Klaipeda vs FK Ekranas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Neptunas Klaipeda win (64%). Probabilities: FK Neptunas Klaipeda 64%, draw 21%, FK Ekranas 16%.

How many goals are expected in FK Neptunas Klaipeda vs FK Ekranas?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FK Neptunas Klaipeda 2.07 · FK Ekranas 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Neptunas Klaipeda vs FK Ekranas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.