Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 26/10, 17:00

Prediction: FK Transinvest II vs FK Siauliai II

Team pages: FK Transinvest II · FK Siauliai II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

FK Transinvest II2

FK Siauliai II1.57

1X2

47% 23% 30%

FK Transinvest II Draw FK Siauliai II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLDW

FK Siauliai II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLWDL

Head-to-head

FK Transinvest II 1–0 FK Siauliai II (1 last)

FK Siauliai II1-2FK Transinvest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1486 · FK Siauliai II 1451

	FK Transinvest II	Draw	FK Siauliai II
Our model	47%	23%	30%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest II	FK Siauliai II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:15 +29’	1.91	3.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest II 1–0–0 FK Siauliai II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Transinvest II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48	13	67
2	FK Minija	26	22	1	3	70	16	67
3	FK BE1	26	17	3	6	47	27	54
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	27	14	4	9	42	36	46
5	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	27	14	2	11	33	33	44
6	DFK Dainava	27	12	8	7	40	28	44
7	FK Tauras	26	13	5	8	47	35	44
8	BFA Vilnius	27	13	4	10	40	40	43
9	FK Atmosfera	26	9	7	10	40	35	34
10	FK Garliava	27	9	5	13	34	30	32
11	Lietava Jonava	27	8	6	13	31	35	30
12	FK Transinvest II	27	7	4	16	32	59	25
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26	48	23
14	FC Hegelmann II	27	7	2	18	32	62	23
15	FK Siauliai II	27	4	6	17	32	62	18
16	FK Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27	62	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest II	FK Siauliai II
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	2-0 W	3-3 D
FK Ekranas	1-1 D	6-2 W
FK BE1	1-2 L	0-2 L
FC Hegelmann II	4-1 W	1-5 L
FK Minija	0-3 L	1-2 L
Lietava Jonava	1-2 L	1-0 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	3-4 L	1-4 L
FK Atmosfera	2-0 W	1-1 D
BFA Vilnius	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Transinvest II (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Transinvest II

LLWLLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	0	3	W
10/10	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
18/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
11/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
05/09	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
29/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
25/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-3	3-4	9	7	L
14/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
03/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L

FK Siauliai II

WDLWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	10	6	L
09/10	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	3-3	1	3	D
19/09	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	6-2	7	9	W
14/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
04/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-4	1-5	3	2	L
28/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	6	8	L
21/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-4	12	3	L
08/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
02/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest II vs FK Siauliai II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Transinvest II win (47%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest II 47%, draw 23%, FK Siauliai II 30%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest II vs FK Siauliai II?

The model expects 3.57 goals (FK Transinvest II 2 · FK Siauliai II 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest II vs FK Siauliai II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.