Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: FK Tauras vs FK BE1

Team pages: FK Tauras · FK BE1

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

FK Tauras1.54

FK BE11.39

1X2

40% 26% 34%

FK Tauras Draw FK BE1

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tauras 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWDDLLWD

FK BE1 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

FK Tauras 2–3 FK BE1 (5 last)

FK BE11-0FK Tauras
FK BE10-2FK Tauras
FK Tauras1-0FK BE1
FK Tauras0-1FK BE1
FK BE12-1FK Tauras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Tauras 1496 · FK BE1 1562

	FK Tauras	Draw	FK BE1
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK BE1 (rating 1496 vs 1562).
H2H favours FK BE1: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tauras	FK BE1
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +10’	2.20	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tauras 2–0–3 FK BE1

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Tauras
22/08/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Tauras
26/04/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	1-0 HT 0-0	FK BE1
02/11/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	0-1 HT 0-0	FK BE1
14/06/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Tauras

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	27	21	4	2	48	13	67
2	FK Minija	26	22	1	3	70	16	67
3	FK BE1	26	17	3	6	47	27	54
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	27	14	4	9	42	36	46
5	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	27	14	2	11	33	33	44
6	DFK Dainava	27	12	8	7	40	28	44
7	FK Tauras	26	13	5	8	47	35	44
8	BFA Vilnius	27	13	4	10	40	40	43
9	FK Atmosfera	26	9	7	10	40	35	34
10	FK Garliava	27	9	5	13	34	30	32
11	Lietava Jonava	27	8	6	13	31	35	30
12	FK Transinvest II	27	7	4	16	32	59	25
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	27	7	2	18	26	48	23
14	FC Hegelmann II	27	7	2	18	32	62	23
15	FK Siauliai II	27	4	6	17	32	62	18
16	FK Ekranas	27	4	3	20	27	62	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tauras	FK BE1
FC Hegelmann II	4-4 D	2-1 W
Lietava Jonava	3-2 W	0-2 L
FK Garliava	1-0 W	2-0 W
FK Neptunas Klaipeda	0-2 L	2-0 W
DFK Dainava	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	4-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK BE1 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tauras

WDLWDDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	4-4	4	3	D
18/09	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
12/09	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/09	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	6	6	L
28/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-2	5	3	D
21/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
15/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
08/08	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
02/08	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
24/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	4-2	6	4	W

FK BE1

LLWWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
09/10	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
18/09	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/09	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
04/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
29/08	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	5-0	3	2	W
21/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
08/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
31/07	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tauras vs FK BE1?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tauras win (40%). Probabilities: FK Tauras 40%, draw 26%, FK BE1 34%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tauras vs FK BE1?

The model expects 2.93 goals (FK Tauras 1.54 · FK BE1 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tauras vs FK BE1?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.