Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 30/10, 16:00

Prediction: FK Ekranas vs FK Tauras

Team pages: FK Ekranas · FK Tauras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

FK Ekranas1.18

FK Tauras2.11

1X2

20% 22% 58%

FK Ekranas Draw FK Tauras

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ekranas 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDLW

FK Tauras 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDDLLWDL

Head-to-head

FK Ekranas 0–2–4 FK Tauras (6 last)

FK Tauras2-1FK Ekranas
FK Tauras0-0FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas1-3FK Tauras
FK Tauras3-1FK Ekranas
FK Tauras7-1FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas2-2FK Tauras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ekranas 1444 · FK Tauras 1485

	FK Ekranas	Draw	FK Tauras
Our model	20%	23%	58%
Market	21%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Tauras (rating 1444 vs 1485).
H2H favours FK Tauras: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ekranas	FK Tauras
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.6	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.3	3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.33

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:54 +9’	4.33	4.33	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ekranas 0–2–4 FK Tauras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Ekranas
11/04/26 Lithuania Cup	FK Tauras	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Ekranas
17/10/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-3 HT 1-1	FK Tauras
14/06/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	3-1 HT 0-1	FK Ekranas
09/08/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	7-1 HT 2-1	FK Ekranas
17/03/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	2-2 HT 1-2	FK Tauras

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	28	22	4	2	52	13	70
2	FK Minija	27	22	1	4	71	18	67
3	FK BE1	27	18	3	6	49	28	57
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	28	15	4	9	44	36	49
5	BFA Vilnius	28	14	4	10	42	41	46
6	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	28	14	2	12	33	35	44
7	DFK Dainava	28	12	8	8	40	29	44
8	FK Tauras	27	13	5	9	48	37	44
9	FK Atmosfera	27	10	7	10	43	35	37
10	FK Garliava	28	9	5	14	34	32	32
11	Lietava Jonava	28	8	6	14	31	38	30
12	FK Transinvest II	28	8	4	16	35	61	28
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	28	8	2	18	27	48	26
14	FC Hegelmann II	28	7	2	19	32	66	23
15	FK Siauliai II	28	4	6	18	34	65	18
16	FK Ekranas	28	5	3	20	29	62	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ekranas	FK Tauras
FK Neptunas Klaipeda	2-0 W	0-2 L
DFK Dainava	1-3 L	1-1 D
FK Garliava	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK BE1	0-5 L	1-2 L
FC Hegelmann II	2-3 L	4-4 D
Lietava Jonava	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Tauras (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ekranas

WLLLWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
16/10	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
10/10	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
19/09	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-6	6	9	L
12/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	12	9	W
29/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	3	2	L
21/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
14/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
07/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W

FK Tauras

DLWDDLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
16/10	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	4-4	4	3	D
18/09	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
12/09	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/09	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	6	6	L
28/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-2	5	3	D
21/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
15/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
08/08	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
02/08	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ekranas vs FK Tauras?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Tauras win (58%). Probabilities: FK Ekranas 20%, draw 22%, FK Tauras 58%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ekranas vs FK Tauras?

The model expects 3.29 goals (FK Ekranas 1.18 · FK Tauras 2.11), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ekranas vs FK Tauras?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.