Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK BE1

Team pages: FK Zalgiris Vilnius II · FK BE1

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1.32

FK BE11.58

1X2

31% 25% 43%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Draw FK BE1

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWD

FK BE1 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWWDD

Head-to-head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1–1–4 FK BE1 (6 last)

FK BE12-1FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1-0FK BE1
FK BE11-1FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II0-1FK BE1
FK BE13-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
FK BE11-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1551 · FK BE1 1591

	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	Draw	FK BE1
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK BE1 (rating 1551 vs 1591).
H2H favours FK BE1: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	FK BE1
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.2	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.75

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:07 +4’	2.80	3.75	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1–1–4 FK BE1

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
23/07/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-0 HT 1-0	FK BE1
08/03/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
28/08/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	0-1 HT 0-0	FK BE1
10/04/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	3-0 HT 3-0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
29/10/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK BE1	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	29	22	5	2	53	14	71
2	FK Minija	29	23	2	4	77	22	71
3	FK BE1	29	18	5	6	51	30	59
4	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	29	15	5	9	46	38	50
5	FK Tauras	29	14	6	9	53	41	48
6	DFK Dainava	29	13	8	8	44	29	47
7	BFA Vilnius	29	14	5	10	43	42	47
8	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	29	14	2	13	33	37	44
9	FK Atmosfera	29	10	8	11	45	39	38
10	FK Garliava	29	9	6	14	37	35	33
11	Lietava Jonava	29	8	7	14	33	40	31
12	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	29	10	1	18	29	45	31
13	FK Transinvest II	29	8	5	16	38	64	29
14	FC Hegelmann II	29	7	3	19	33	67	24
15	FK Ekranas	29	5	3	21	30	64	18
16	FK Siauliai II	29	4	5	20	31	69	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	FK BE1
FK Garliava	2-0 W	2-0 W
FK Atmosfera	2-3 L	1-1 D
FK Babrungas	0-1 L	1-1 D
FK Tauras	1-0 W	2-1 W
FK Neptunas Klaipeda	1-0 W	2-0 W
DFK Dainava	1-0 W	2-2 D
FK Transinvest II	4-3 W	2-1 W
FK Siauliai II	4-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK BE1 (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

WWWWWLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-2	8	0	D
23/10	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/10	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-3	7	2	L
09/10	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	7	8	W
20/09	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
12/09	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
07/09	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
28/08	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
25/08	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-1	4-3	5	7	W
14/08	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	4-1	6	3	W

FK BE1

WWWWWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
30/10	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
24/10	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
16/10	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
09/10	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
18/09	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/09	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
04/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
29/08	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	5-0	3	2	W
21/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK BE1?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK BE1 win (43%). Probabilities: FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 31%, draw 25%, FK BE1 43%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK BE1?

The model expects 2.9 goals (FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1.32 · FK BE1 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK BE1?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.