Football · England Premier League · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Hull vs Man Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Hull0.64
Man Utd1.85
1X2
Hull
Draw
Man Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hull
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Man Utd
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hull
1–2–3
Man Utd
(6 last)
- Man Utd0-0Hull
- Hull2-1Man Utd
- Man Utd2-0Hull
- Hull0-1Man Utd
- Hull0-0Man Utd
- Man Utd3-0Hull
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hull 1542 · Man Utd 1543
| Hull | Draw | Man Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 23% | 65% |
| Market | 13% | 19% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Man Utd: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hull | Man Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hull 1–2–3 Man Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/17 England Premier League | Man Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hull |
| 26/01/17 England EFL Cup | Hull | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Man Utd |
| 10/01/17 England EFL Cup | Man Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hull |
| 27/08/16 England Premier League | Hull | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Man Utd |
| 24/05/15 England Premier League | Hull | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Man Utd |
| 29/11/14 England Premier League | Man Utd | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Hull |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nottm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hull
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Nice Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Kasimpasa Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/07 | Caykur Rizespor Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Konyaspor Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Millwall England Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Millwall England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Norwich England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
Man Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | AC Milan Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/08 | Leeds Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | PSG Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Atletico Madrid Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Rosenborg Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Wrexham Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Brighton England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hull vs Man Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Man Utd win (67%). Probabilities: Hull 12%, draw 21%, Man Utd 67%.
How many goals are expected in Hull vs Man Utd?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Hull 0.64 · Man Utd 1.85), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Man Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.