Football · England Premier League · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Everton vs Crystal Palace
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Everton1.66
Crystal Palace1.31
1X2
Everton
Draw
Crystal Palace
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Everton
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Crystal Palace
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton
4–2–0
Crystal Palace
(6 last)
- Crystal Palace2-2Everton
- Everton2-1Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace1-2Everton
- Everton2-1Crystal Palace
- Everton1-1Crystal Palace
- Everton1-0Crystal Palace
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton 1501 · Crystal Palace 1505
| Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Everton: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.3 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton 4–2–0 Crystal Palace
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Everton |
| 05/10/25 England Premier League | Everton | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Crystal Palace |
| 15/02/25 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Everton |
| 28/09/24 England Premier League | Everton | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Crystal Palace |
| 19/02/24 England Premier League | Everton | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Crystal Palace |
| 17/01/24 England FA Cup | Everton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Crystal Palace |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nottm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Lille Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 12/08 | Newcastle Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | VfB Stuttgart Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Hamburg Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | Stoke Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Bolton Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Dundee Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
Crystal Palace
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | SC Freiburg Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | Fulham Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Alula SC Elite Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Famalicao Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Bromley Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Swindon Elite Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Rayo Vallecano UEFA Conference League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton vs Crystal Palace?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Everton win (44%). Probabilities: Everton 44%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 29%.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Crystal Palace?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Everton 1.66 · Crystal Palace 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.