Football · England Premier League · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ipswich vs Sunderland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Ipswich1.26
Sunderland1.28
1X2
Ipswich
Draw
Sunderland
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ipswich
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Sunderland
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ipswich
2–1–3
Sunderland
(6 last)
- Ipswich2-1Sunderland
- Sunderland1-2Ipswich
- Ipswich1-1Sunderland
- Sunderland2-0Ipswich
- Ipswich0-1Sunderland
- Sunderland2-1Ipswich
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ipswich 1556 · Sunderland 1557
| Ipswich | Draw | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sunderland: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ipswich | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ipswich 2–1–3 Sunderland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/24 England Championship | Ipswich | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Sunderland |
| 06/08/23 England Championship | Sunderland | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ipswich |
| 18/12/21 England League 1 | Ipswich | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sunderland |
| 20/11/21 England League 1 | Sunderland | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ipswich |
| 26/01/21 England League 1 | Ipswich | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sunderland |
| 03/11/20 England League 1 | Sunderland | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Ipswich |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nottm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ipswich
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Union Berlin Elite Club Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Rayo Vallecano Elite Club Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 04/08 | Le Havre Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Wycombe Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Oxford Utd Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Osasuna Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | QPR England Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | Southampton England Championship |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Sunderland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rennes Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Lens Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Wrexham Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Leeds Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Liverpool Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | York Elite Club Friendlies |
4-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ipswich vs Sunderland?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sunderland win (36%). Probabilities: Ipswich 35%, draw 29%, Sunderland 36%.
How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Sunderland?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Ipswich 1.26 · Sunderland 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Sunderland?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.