Football · England Premier League · 22/08, 18:30
Prediction: Brentford vs Tottenham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Brentford1.33
Tottenham1.14
1X2
Brentford
Draw
Tottenham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brentford
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Tottenham
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brentford
0–2–4
Tottenham
(6 last)
- Brentford0-0Tottenham
- Tottenham2-0Brentford
- Brentford0-2Tottenham
- Tottenham3-1Brentford
- Tottenham3-2Brentford
- Brentford2-2Tottenham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brentford 1519 · Tottenham 1573
| Brentford | Draw | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tottenham (rating 1519 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Tottenham: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brentford | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 3.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brentford 0–2–4 Tottenham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/26 England Premier League | Brentford | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tottenham |
| 06/12/25 England Premier League | Tottenham | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Brentford |
| 02/02/25 England Premier League | Brentford | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tottenham |
| 21/09/24 England Premier League | Tottenham | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Brentford |
| 31/01/24 England Premier League | Tottenham | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Brentford |
| 13/08/23 England Premier League | Brentford | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Tottenham |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nottm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brentford | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Everton | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Leeds | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tottenham (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brentford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt Elite Club Friendlies |
3-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Rennes Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Everton England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Tottenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | TSG Hoffenheim Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Getafe Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Chelsea Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Sydney FC Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 26/07 | Auckland FC Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Milton Keynes Dons Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brentford vs Tottenham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brentford win (41%). Probabilities: Brentford 41%, draw 28%, Tottenham 32%.
How many goals are expected in Brentford vs Tottenham?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Brentford 1.33 · Tottenham 1.14), with a 61% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Tottenham?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.