Prediction: Man City vs Bournemouth
Team pages: Man City
- Bournemouth1-1Man City
- Man City3-1Bournemouth
- Man City3-1Bournemouth
- Bournemouth1-2Man City
- Bournemouth2-1Man City
- Bournemouth0-1Man City
| Man City | Draw | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Man City: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 14.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Man City | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 9.5 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Man City 4–1–1 Bournemouth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Man City |
| 02/11/25 England Premier League | Man City | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Bournemouth |
| 20/05/25 England Premier League | Man City | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Bournemouth |
| 30/03/25 England FA Cup | Bournemouth | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Man City |
| 02/11/24 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Man City |
| 24/02/24 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Man City |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Man Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nottm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Man City | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Brentford | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Burnley | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Arsenal | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Nottm Forest | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Man City (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Man City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Arsenal England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | West Ham England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | D |
| 04/03 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Bournemouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Newcastle England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Arsenal England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/03 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Burnley England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 03/03 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Man City vs Bournemouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Man City win (64%). Probabilities: Man City 64%, draw 21%, Bournemouth 15%.
How many goals are expected in Man City vs Bournemouth?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Man City 2.17 · Bournemouth 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Man City vs Bournemouth?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.