Prediction: BuxDu vs FC Lochin

Team pages: BuxDu · FC Lochin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
BuxDu1.17
FC Lochin1.89
1X2
23% 23% 54%
BuxDu Draw FC Lochin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
BuxDu 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLLLL
FC Lochin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDWLWWDLL
Head-to-head
BuxDu 0–1 FC Lochin (1 last)
  • FC Lochin4-0BuxDu
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BuxDu 1385 · FC Lochin 1494
BuxDuDrawFC Lochin
Our model22%24%53%
Market24%22%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lochin (rating 1385 vs 1494).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BuxDuFC Lochin
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.70.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/13/63%0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.12 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.34.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · BuxDu 0–0–1 FC Lochin

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/05/26
Uzbekistan 1st Division
FC Lochin4-0BuxDu

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Orol Nukus 201541 421349
2 Shurtan 201334 351942
3 Metallurg Bekabad 201244 461640
4 Fardu Ferghana 201163 372739
5 Kattaqorgon 191036 241733
6 FC Lochin 20956 262332
7 Gazalkent 20956 362332
8 Olympic Mobiuz 18945 342031
9 Jayxun 207310 222524
10 FC Yaypan Fergana 206410 233722
11 Respublika FA 19649 252922
12 BuxDu 203116 164810
13 Pakhtakor Tashkent II 203116 134610
14 PFC Terdu 201118 12484

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBuxDuFC Lochin
Fardu Ferghana 1-3 L 1-2 L
Respublika FA 1-2 L 0-3 L
Metallurg Bekabad 0-4 L 0-5 L
FK Orol Nukus 0-2 L 0-2 L
Gazalkent 1-3 L 1-1 D
Shurtan 2-4 L 1-0 W
Jayxun 1-5 L 1-0 W
Pakhtakor Tashkent II 2-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 7 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lochin (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BuxDu

WLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-3 1-3 13 L
17/09 Respublika FA
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-2 1-2 42 L
13/09 Kattaqorgon
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-2 24 L
06/09 Olympic Mobiuz
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 1-2 05 L
27/08 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-4 43 L
15/08 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 0-2 –– L
09/08 Gazalkent
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 1-3 34 L
05/08 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 2-4 13 L
31/07 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 1-5 17 L
24/07 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 2-0 32 W

FC Lochin

LLDWLWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/09 Respublika FA
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-2 0-3 63 L
13/09 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 0-2 –– L
06/09 Gazalkent
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 1-1 –– D
29/08 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 1-0 –– W
20/08 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 1-0 15 W
15/08 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 1-2 –– L
10/08 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
– 2-1 65 W
05/08 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-0 43 D
31/07 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-5 23 L
25/07 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 1-2 86 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BuxDu vs FC Lochin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lochin win (54%). Probabilities: BuxDu 23%, draw 23%, FC Lochin 54%.

How many goals are expected in BuxDu vs FC Lochin?

The model expects 3.06 goals (BuxDu 1.17 · FC Lochin 1.89), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BuxDu vs FC Lochin?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.