Football · Finland Kolmonen · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: Peimari United vs SalPa 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Peimari United1.87

SalPa 21.3

1X2

50% 23% 26%

Peimari United Draw SalPa 2

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Peimari United 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWLLDD

SalPa 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLWDWL

Head-to-head

Peimari United 3–1–1 SalPa 2 (5 last)

SalPa 21-0Peimari United
SalPa 21-2Peimari United
Peimari United6-2SalPa 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peimari United 1498 · SalPa 2 1508

	Peimari United	Draw	SalPa 2
Our model	50%	25%	26%
Market	51%	22%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peimari United: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peimari United	SalPa 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/50/17%	11/67/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.10

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:08 +2’	1.75	4.10	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peimari United 3–1–1 SalPa 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	SalPa 2	1-0 HT 1-0	Peimari United
25/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	SalPa 2	1-2 HT 1-1	Peimari United
28/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	6-2	SalPa 2
30/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	SalPa 2	2-3 HT 1-2	Peimari United
18/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	Peimari United	1-1 HT 1-0	SalPa 2

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Mariehamn II	11	9	0	2	31	10	27
2	EuPa	11	8	1	2	24	8	25
3	PIF Parainen	11	7	2	2	24	10	23
4	VG-62	11	7	0	4	17	12	21
5	KaaPo	12	6	0	6	24	24	18
6	SalPa 2	11	5	2	4	15	14	17
7	MaPS	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
8	Peimari United	11	2	6	3	17	16	12
9	LTU	11	3	1	7	8	16	10
10	PiPS	11	2	2	7	9	22	8
11	JyTy	12	2	2	8	13	33	8
12	ACF	12	1	4	7	8	24	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peimari United	SalPa 2
PiPS	2-2 D	2-1 W
ACF	2-2 D	0-0 D
LTU	0-1 L	1-0 W
IFK Mariehamn II	1-3 L	1-4 L
VG-62	3-1 W	1-2 L
EuPa	1-1 D	0-1 L
JyTy	2-2 D	2-3 L
KaaPo	5-2 W	2-0 W
PIF Parainen	1-1 D	1-1 D
MaPS	0-0 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 6 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Peimari United (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peimari United

DDWDDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
17/06	ACF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
13/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
06/06	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/05	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/05	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
15/05	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
09/05	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	–	5-2	–	–	W
03/05	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	2	D

SalPa 2

LLWWDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	9	5	L
23/06	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
14/06	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
02/06	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-2	3	0	W
30/05	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
22/05	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/05	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	12	4	W
09/05	LTU Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-4	4	5	L
24/04	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peimari United vs SalPa 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peimari United win (50%). Probabilities: Peimari United 50%, draw 23%, SalPa 2 26%.

How many goals are expected in Peimari United vs SalPa 2?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Peimari United 1.87 · SalPa 2 1.3), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Peimari United vs SalPa 2?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.