Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/07, 14:00

Prediction: GrIFK Reservi vs EPS Reservi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.42Total
GrIFK Reservi2.22
EPS Reservi2.2
1X2
40% 22% 39%
GrIFK Reservi Draw EPS Reservi
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
GrIFK Reservi 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLWWWL
EPS Reservi 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLDLWL
Head-to-head
GrIFK Reservi 2–1–3 EPS Reservi (6 last)
  • EPS Reservi2-2GrIFK Reservi
  • GrIFK Reservi2-1EPS Reservi
  • EPS Reservi2-1GrIFK Reservi
  • EPS Reservi3-2GrIFK Reservi
  • GrIFK Reservi1-0EPS Reservi
  • GrIFK Reservi0-2EPS Reservi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GrIFK Reservi 1480 · EPS Reservi 1428
GrIFK ReserviDrawEPS Reservi
Our model40%21%39%
Market39%23%38%
Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK Reservi (rating 1480 vs 1428).
  • H2H favours EPS Reservi: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GrIFK ReserviEPS Reservi
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.21.5 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 10.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/38/25%25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.61.9 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.12.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · GrIFK Reservi 213 EPS Reservi

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
EPS Reservi2-2
HT 1-1
GrIFK Reservi
03/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
GrIFK Reservi2-1
HT 0-0
EPS Reservi
01/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
EPS Reservi2-1
HT 1-1
GrIFK Reservi
28/03/25
Finland Cup
EPS Reservi3-2
HT 3-1
GrIFK Reservi
28/08/24
Finland Kolmonen
GrIFK Reservi1-0
HT 0-0
EPS Reservi
30/08/23
Finland Kolmonen
GrIFK Reservi0-2
HT 0-2
EPS Reservi

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EIF Academy 11812 461925
2 ESPA 11812 301125
3 Poxyt 12714 282322
4 LePa 12624 212120
5 NuPS 12543 221419
6 LoPa 11515 161716
7 Gilla FC 12426 252614
8 MPS 12336 101912
9 PPJ/Ruoholahti 11335 182912
10 GrIFK Reservi 11326 202411
11 HooGee 12318 183310
12 EPS Reservi 11236 17359

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrIFK ReserviEPS Reservi
NuPS 0-3 L 1-1 D
ESPA 4-2 W 2-4 L
LoPa 2-1 W 0-1 L
LePa 4-0 W 2-1 W
Gilla FC 1-2 L 1-5 L
HooGee 1-2 L 6-2 W
Poxyt 2-4 L 0-5 L
PPJ/Ruoholahti 1-1 D 1-5 L
MPS 2-4 L 0-0 D
EIF Academy 1-3 L 2-9 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 6 L 2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: GrIFK Reservi (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GrIFK Reservi

LLDLLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
28/06 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-2 55 W
12/06 LoPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 85 W
07/06 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 43 W
27/05 Gilla FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 95 L
21/05 HooGee
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 85 L
13/05 Poxyt
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 L
07/05 PPJ/Ruoholahti
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 92 D
03/05 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 2-4 23 L
26/04 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-3 02 L

EPS Reservi

LLWLDLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 PPJ/Ruoholahti
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-5 33 L
24/06 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-1 43 W
17/06 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 2-9 01 L
14/06 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 23 D
05/06 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 L
31/05 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-1 107 D
24/05 Gilla FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-5 43 L
17/05 HooGee
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 6-2 53 W
09/05 Poxyt
Finland Kolmonen
0-5 L
26/04 LoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 01 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GrIFK Reservi vs EPS Reservi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GrIFK Reservi win (40%). Probabilities: GrIFK Reservi 40%, draw 22%, EPS Reservi 39%.

How many goals are expected in GrIFK Reservi vs EPS Reservi?

The model expects 4.42 goals (GrIFK Reservi 2.22 · EPS Reservi 2.2), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GrIFK Reservi vs EPS Reservi?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.