Prediction: Montrose vs East Kilbride
Team pages: Montrose · East Kilbride
| Montrose | Draw | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1488 vs 1558).
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montrose | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 3.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 3.2 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ross County | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Peterhead | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Alloa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | East Fife | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Airdrieonians | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montrose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/08 | Fraserburgh Scotland League Challenge Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Spartans Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Arbroath Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Stirling Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Inverurie Loco Works Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | St Johnstone Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Kilmarnock B Scotland League Challenge Cup |
1-2 | 5-3 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
3-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montrose vs East Kilbride?
According to our model, the most likely result is an East Kilbride win (50%). Probabilities: Montrose 26%, draw 24%, East Kilbride 50%.
How many goals are expected in Montrose vs East Kilbride?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Montrose 1.39 · East Kilbride 1.95), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Montrose vs East Kilbride?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.