Prediction: East Fife vs Hamilton
Team pages: East Fife · Hamilton
- East Fife0-3Hamilton
- Hamilton1-0East Fife
- East Fife1-1Hamilton
- Hamilton1-2East Fife
| East Fife | Draw | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 29% | 53% |
| Market | 20% | 26% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1501 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Fife | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.9 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Fife 1–1–2 Hamilton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Hamilton |
| 17/02/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
| 01/11/25 Scotland League One | East Fife | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hamilton |
| 16/08/25 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 1-2 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ross County | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Peterhead | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Alloa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | East Fife | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Airdrieonians | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Fife | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Alloa | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Fife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Spartans Scotland League Challenge Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | St Johnstone Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Inverness CT Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/08 | Celtic B Scotland League Challenge Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Raith UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Hamilton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamilton win (53%). Probabilities: East Fife 19%, draw 27%, Hamilton 53%.
How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Hamilton?
The model expects 2.28 goals (East Fife 0.79 · Hamilton 1.49), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in East Fife vs Hamilton?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.