Football · Scotland League One · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Montrose vs Queen of South

Team pages: Montrose · Queen of South

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Montrose1.68

Queen of South1.21

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Montrose Draw Queen of South

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Montrose 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLLLW

Queen of South 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWDDWLLL

Head-to-head

Montrose 2–1–3 Queen of South (6 last)

Queen of South2-2Montrose
Montrose3-2Queen of South
Queen of South1-0Montrose
Montrose2-1Queen of South
Queen of South2-1Montrose
Montrose0-3Queen of South

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montrose 1498 · Queen of South 1462

	Montrose	Draw	Queen of South
Our model	47%	26%	26%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Queen of South: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montrose	Queen of South
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:33 +13’	1.85	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose 2–1–3 Queen of South

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Scotland League One	Queen of South	2-2 HT 0-1	Montrose
21/02/26 Scotland League One	Montrose	3-2 HT 2-0	Queen of South
20/12/25 Scotland League One	Queen of South	1-0 HT 0-0	Montrose
27/09/25 Scotland League One	Montrose	2-1 HT 0-0	Queen of South
12/04/25 Scotland League One	Queen of South	2-1 HT 1-0	Montrose
22/02/25 Scotland League One	Montrose	0-3 HT 0-1	Queen of South

Standings · Scotland League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hamilton	4	3	1	0	10	0	10
2	Ross County	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
3	East Kilbride	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
4	Alloa	4	2	1	1	5	1	7
5	Peterhead	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
6	East Fife	4	1	2	1	3	2	5
7	Cove Rangers	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
8	Montrose	4	1	0	3	4	10	3
9	Airdrieonians	4	0	2	2	2	8	2
10	Queen of South	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montrose	Queen of South
East Kilbride	3-0 W	1-5 L
Alloa	0-3 L	0-2 L
Kelty Hearts	1-3 L	1-1 D
Cove Rangers	2-3 L	2-0 W
East Fife	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Queen of South (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montrose

WLLLDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	East Kilbride Scotland League One	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
15/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
08/08	Ross County Scotland League One	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
01/08	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-2	0-5	4	0	L
02/05	Stenhousemuir Scotland League One	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
25/04	Queen of South Scotland League One	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
18/04	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
11/04	Kelty Hearts Scotland League One	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
07/04	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-1	2-3	6	2	L
04/04	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	1-0	9	4	W

Queen of South

DDDWDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
08/08	Peterhead Scotland League One	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
01/08	East Kilbride Scotland League One	1-3	1-5	2	7	L
02/05	Alloa Scotland League One	1-1	4-1	2	2	W
25/04	Montrose Scotland League One	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
18/04	Peterhead Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
11/04	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
04/04	Kelty Hearts Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
27/03	Inverness CT Scotland League One	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
21/03	East Fife Scotland League One	2-1	2-2	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montrose vs Queen of South?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montrose win (48%). Probabilities: Montrose 48%, draw 25%, Queen of South 27%.

How many goals are expected in Montrose vs Queen of South?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Montrose 1.68 · Queen of South 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Montrose vs Queen of South?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.