Football · Scotland League One · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Cove Rangers vs Peterhead
Team pages: Cove Rangers · Peterhead
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Cove Rangers1.41
Peterhead1.28
1X2
Cove Rangers
Draw
Peterhead
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cove Rangers
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Peterhead
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cove Rangers
3–1–2
Peterhead
(6 last)
- Cove Rangers2-1Peterhead
- Peterhead0-4Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers1-2Peterhead
- Peterhead3-1Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers1-1Peterhead
- Cove Rangers5-2Peterhead
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cove Rangers 1409 · Peterhead 1550
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterhead (rating 1409 vs 1550).
- H2H favours Cove Rangers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cove Rangers | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove Rangers 3–1–2 Peterhead
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Peterhead |
| 27/12/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Cove Rangers |
| 01/11/25 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Peterhead |
| 23/08/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 11/07/23 Club Friendly List | Cove Rangers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Peterhead |
| 05/03/22 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Peterhead |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ross County | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Peterhead | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Alloa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | East Fife | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Airdrieonians | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cove Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Stirling Scotland League Challenge Cup |
0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | St Johnstone UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Inverness CT UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
Peterhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Banks O'Dee Scotland League Challenge Cup |
4-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Forfar Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Dundee B UK Friendlies |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cove Rangers vs Peterhead?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cove Rangers win (39%). Probabilities: Cove Rangers 39%, draw 27%, Peterhead 33%.
How many goals are expected in Cove Rangers vs Peterhead?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Cove Rangers 1.41 · Peterhead 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cove Rangers vs Peterhead?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.