Football · Scotland League One · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Queen of South vs Alloa

Team pages: Queen of South · Alloa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Queen of South1.31
Alloa1.31
1X2
36% 28% 36%
Queen of South Draw Alloa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Queen of South 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLDWLLLLW
Alloa 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDDLDLWW
Head-to-head
Queen of South 4–1–1 Alloa (6 last)
  • Alloa1-4Queen of South
  • Queen of South1-2Alloa
  • Alloa0-2Queen of South
  • Queen of South1-0Alloa
  • Queen of South3-2Alloa
  • Alloa1-1Queen of South
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen of South 1473 · Alloa 1458
Queen of SouthDrawAlloa
Our model36%29%36%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Queen of South: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Queen of SouthAlloa
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.20.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.11.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 03.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen of South 411 Alloa

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Scotland League One
Alloa1-4
HT 1-1
Queen of South
14/02/26
Scotland League One
Queen of South1-2
HT 0-1
Alloa
13/12/25
Scotland League One
Alloa0-2
HT 0-1
Queen of South
04/10/25
Scotland League One
Queen of South1-0
HT 0-0
Alloa
15/03/25
Scotland League One
Queen of South3-2
HT 2-1
Alloa
11/01/25
Scotland League One
Alloa1-1
HT 0-1
Queen of South

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hamilton 3300 1009
2 East Kilbride 3210 927
3 Ross County 2200 316
4 Peterhead 3201 326
5 Alloa 3111 314
6 East Fife 3111 324
7 Airdrieonians 3021 152
8 Cove Rangers 3012 051
9 Queen of South 2002 160
10 Montrose 3003 1100

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queen of South

DLLDWLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Cumbernauld Colts
Scotland League Challenge Cup
3-0 4-0 102 W
08/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 102 L
01/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-3 1-5 27 L
25/07 Queen's Park
Scotland League Cup
1-2 1-3 23 L
22/07 Aberdeen
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-4 12 L
18/07 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 53 W
11/07 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-1 11 D
04/07 Crusaders
UK Friendlies
1-2 1-2 51 L
27/06 Connah's Quay
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-1 01 L
09/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 55 D

Alloa

WLLDDLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
2-0 3-0 64 W
11/08 Stranraer
Scotland League Challenge Cup
0-0 2-1 52 W
08/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 36 L
01/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 122 D
25/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
0-3 1-4 51 L
21/07 Falkirk
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-1 12 D
18/07 Stranraer
Scotland League Cup
0-1 2-2 32 D
14/07 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 64 L
30/06 Livingston
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-3 10 L
16/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 311 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen of South vs Alloa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Queen of South win (36%). Probabilities: Queen of South 36%, draw 28%, Alloa 36%.

How many goals are expected in Queen of South vs Alloa?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Queen of South 1.31 · Alloa 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen of South vs Alloa?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.