Prediction: Alloa vs Peterhead
- Alloa1-2Peterhead
- Peterhead3-1Alloa
- Alloa4-0Peterhead
- Peterhead2-1Alloa
- Peterhead0-2Alloa
- Alloa1-0Peterhead
| Alloa | Draw | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterhead (rating 1475 vs 1525).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alloa | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alloa 3–0–3 Peterhead
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Peterhead |
| 10/03/26 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Alloa |
| 06/12/25 Scotland League One | Alloa | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Peterhead |
| 27/09/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Alloa |
| 25/03/23 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Alloa |
| 04/02/23 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Peterhead |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Alloa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 9 | Airdrieonians | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 10 | Queen of South | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alloa | Peterhead |
|---|---|---|
| Queen of South | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hamilton | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| East Fife | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Cove Rangers | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alloa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
Peterhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alloa vs Peterhead?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alloa win (52%). Probabilities: Alloa 52%, draw 27%, Peterhead 21%.
How many goals are expected in Alloa vs Peterhead?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Alloa 1.56 · Peterhead 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alloa vs Peterhead?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.