Prediction: Hamilton vs Cove Rangers
Team pages: Hamilton · Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers2-2Hamilton
- Hamilton2-0Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers2-1Hamilton
- Hamilton0-0Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers1-3Hamilton
- Hamilton2-0Cove Rangers
| Hamilton | Draw | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1569 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hamilton | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.8 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamilton 3–2–1 Cove Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Hamilton |
| 24/01/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 15/11/25 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Hamilton |
| 30/08/25 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 23/03/24 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Hamilton |
| 13/01/24 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cove Rangers |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Alloa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 9 | Airdrieonians | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 10 | Queen of South | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hamilton | Cove Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| East Fife | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Airdrieonians | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Alloa | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Montrose | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Peterhead | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Kelty Hearts | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
Cove Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamilton vs Cove Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hamilton win (58%). Probabilities: Hamilton 58%, draw 25%, Cove Rangers 18%.
How many goals are expected in Hamilton vs Cove Rangers?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Hamilton 1.79 · Cove Rangers 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hamilton vs Cove Rangers?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.