Prediction: East Kilbride vs Montrose
Team pages: East Kilbride · Montrose
- Montrose3-0East Kilbride
| East Kilbride | Draw | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1543 vs 1497).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Kilbride | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.7 | 1.1 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Kilbride 0–0–1 Montrose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Scotland League One | Montrose | 3-0 HT 2-0 | East Kilbride |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Queen of South | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
| 7 | East Fife | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Alloa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Kilbride | Montrose |
|---|---|---|
| Airdrieonians | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| East Fife | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Alloa | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Peterhead | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Hamilton | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Ross County | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Cove Rangers | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Queen of South | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: East Kilbride (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Montrose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Kilbride vs Montrose?
According to our model, the most likely result is a East Kilbride win (57%). Probabilities: East Kilbride 57%, draw 23%, Montrose 20%.
How many goals are expected in East Kilbride vs Montrose?
The model expects 3.37 goals (East Kilbride 2.14 · Montrose 1.23), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in East Kilbride vs Montrose?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.