Football · Scotland League One · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Ross County vs Peterhead

Team pages: Ross County · Peterhead

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Ross County2.79
Peterhead0.84
1X2
77% 15% 8%
Ross County Draw Peterhead
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Ross County 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWDW
Peterhead 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLWLW
Head-to-head
Ross County 1–0 Peterhead (1 last)
  • Peterhead0-1Ross County
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ross County 1661 · Peterhead 1472
Ross CountyDrawPeterhead
Our model77%15%8%
Market77%14%8%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1661 vs 1472).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ross CountyPeterhead
Goals for / against (FT)3.9 / 0.60.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.8 / 0.10.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/20/0%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 6.51.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 04.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ross County 1–0–0 Peterhead

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Scotland League One
Peterhead0-1
HT 0-0
Ross County

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 131120 45835
2 Hamilton 131030 27633
3 Montrose 13625 182120
4 East Kilbride 12534 211718
5 Peterhead 13418 112113
6 Airdrieonians 13346 102013
7 Queen of South 13418 133613
8 Alloa 13337 131612
9 East Fife 13265 111612
10 Cove Rangers 12237 10189

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoss CountyPeterhead
East Kilbride 2-1 W 1-3 L
Hamilton 1-1 D 1-2 L
Airdrieonians 4-0 W 1-2 L
Queen of South 7-1 W 0-1 L
Montrose 5-0 W 0-3 L
Alloa 4-1 W 2-1 W
Cove Rangers 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Ross County (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ross County

WDWWWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 44 W
27/10 Hamilton
Scotland League One
1-1 1-1 102 D
24/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
3-0 4-0 62 W
17/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
5-0 7-1 56 W
10/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
3-0 5-0 85 W
03/10 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 4-1 75 W
19/09 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 35 W
15/09 Queen of South
Scotland League One
2-0 8-0 74 W
05/09 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 2-2 86 D
29/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-0 4-0 75 W

Peterhead

LDLLLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 64 W
24/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L
17/10 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 2-0 66 W
10/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 0-1 36 L
03/10 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-0 1-2 22 L
19/09 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 96 L
12/09 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-1 1-3 26 L
05/09 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L
29/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-1 1-1 45 D
22/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 0-3 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ross County vs Peterhead?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ross County win (77%). Probabilities: Ross County 77%, draw 15%, Peterhead 8%.

How many goals are expected in Ross County vs Peterhead?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Ross County 2.79 · Peterhead 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ross County vs Peterhead?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.