Prediction: Cove Rangers vs Hamilton
Team pages: Cove Rangers · Hamilton
- Hamilton1-0Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers2-2Hamilton
- Hamilton2-0Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers2-1Hamilton
- Hamilton0-0Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers1-3Hamilton
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 28% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1518 vs 1612).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cove Rangers | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 3.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove Rangers 1–2–3 Hamilton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 21/03/26 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Hamilton |
| 24/01/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 15/11/25 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Hamilton |
| 30/08/25 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 23/03/24 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Hamilton |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 8 | 35 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Montrose | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
| 4 | East Kilbride | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 18 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 13 |
| 6 | Airdrieonians | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of South | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 13 |
| 8 | Alloa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | East Fife | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cove Rangers | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| Airdrieonians | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Peterhead | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| East Fife | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Queen of South | 3-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Ross County | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Montrose | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Alloa | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| East Kilbride | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 6 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cove Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cove Rangers vs Hamilton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamilton win (53%). Probabilities: Cove Rangers 21%, draw 25%, Hamilton 53%.
How many goals are expected in Cove Rangers vs Hamilton?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Cove Rangers 0.91 · Hamilton 1.59), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cove Rangers vs Hamilton?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.